€ / $ : violent mouvement long terme

Long term: monthly bearish non-crossover for our stochastic and MACD

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal and LY is flat. Within two periods our 7 / 23 moving averages and stochastic will be neutral. MY (1.2052) is our first support.

On a quarterly basis, the trend for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages is not bearish. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought. Prices will move lower. Below MY (1.2052), LQ (1.1131) could be a target.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is maximal but a dynamic for each Bollinger band is in progress. A bearish A type crossover is the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages. The status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish non-crossover. 1.2330 (current low) is our first objective.

Idea: spread UM / LM will increase with lower prices.

R = MM (1.4355); S =1.2330, MY (1.2052), LQ (1.1131)

 

Medium term: focus on next week close

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is maximal. A bearish trend is in progress for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages. But, next week a bullish A type crossover could develop. With this hypothesis, UW (1.4062) will be our first objective. Above this level, the rise could continue towards MM (1.4355). Otherwise; if PW (1.3885) acts as a resistance until the end of the first week of April, a collapse could develop. See also our 7 weeks dynamic. MW (1.3125) and LW (1.2188) are our April 09 objectives.

Idea: with a bearish non-crossover as a new status for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages, one of the most powerful bear trend will develop.

R = PW (1.3885), UW (1.4062);   S = MW (1.3125), LW (1.2188)

 

Short term: bullish parallel pattern in progresslrt term: no trend965Y (1.4243amilliales) enance personnelle.tellis

On a daily basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules.

R = UD (1.3748);    S =PD (1.3107), MD (1.2969).

 

Conclusion: at the end of the first week of April, a 3 to 6 months trend will begin.

 

Position: Previous: out; Next: see conclusion; Since 01/01 = NS

 

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