Long term: quarterly bearish divergences for our stochastic and MACD?
On a quarterly basis, a bullish T2 failed with LQ which is not on the down side. But our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, stochastic and MACD are up. With a close below MQ (117.33), a bearish divergence could develop for our stochastic and MACD. With this hypothesis, LQ (110.06) will be our main target. On a monthly basis, like a bullish bubble pattern failed (quarterly time frame was not bullish when a monthly pseudo- bullish “T2” occurred and LM was flat in T4). A decline could develop with the current overbought status for our stochastic and MACD. MM (117.43) is our first objective and PM (114.82) is the next one.
Idea: with a Q2 close below MQ (117.33), a (bearish) tsunami is not ruled out.
R= PW (122.44); S= MM (117.43), PM (114.62), LQ (110.06)
Medium term: lower
On a weekly basis (continuous contract), a bearish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 moving averages. A bearish non-crossover is in progress with our stochastic and MACD.
Idea: if UW trend increase, a collapse could develop.
R = MW (122.33); S = MM (117.43), PM (114.62)
Short term: bearish parallel pattern
On a daily basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress.
Idea: use bearish parallel rules.
R = MD (119.66); S = LD (117.56), –
Conclusion: with a Q2 close below MQ (117.33), a (bearish) tsunami is not ruled out