Long term: quarterly bearish divergences for our stochastic and MACD?
On a quarterly basis, a bullish T2 failed with LQ which is not on the down side. But our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, stochastic and MACD are up. With a close below MQ, a bearish divergence could develop for our stochastic and MACD. With this hypothesis, LQ will be our main target. On a monthly basis, like a bullish bubble pattern failed (quarterly time frame was not bullish when a monthly pseudo- bullish “T2” occurred and LM was flat in T4). A decline could develop with the current overbought status for our stochastic and MACD. MQ is our first objective and PM is the next one.
Idea: with a Q2 close below MQ, a (bearish) tsunami is not ruled out.
R= PW (122.44); S= MQ (117.36), PM (114.62), LQ (110.04)
Medium term: lower
On a weekly basis (continuous contract), a bearish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 moving averages. A bearish non-crossover is in progress with our MACD. Next week, a bearish crossover PW / MW is expected. If UW trend is up, a collapse is not ruled out.
Idea: bearish non-crossover for our weekly MACD.
R = MW (122.34); S = MQ (117.36), PM (114.62)
Short term: recovery
On a daily basis, a bearish parallel pattern is over since MD fails as a resistance.
Idea: technical recovery as long as M23 is bearish.
R = UD (120.54); S = MD (119.14), LD (117.74)
Conclusion: with a Q2 close below MQ (117.36), a (bearish) tsunami is not ruled out