10Y T-Note: bear trend

Long term: PQ is a strong support

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is shrinking. The trend for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is slightly up. Our stochastic is oversold with a weak bullish no-crossover.

On a quarterly basis, LQ could turn up but the UQ / LQ spread is wide. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought with a bearish divergence for our stochastic. As long as PQ proves to be a support, the decline in progress is only a technical move.

On a monthly basis, a bearish divergence is in progress for our stochastic with a bearish no-crossover for stochastic and MACD. With UM / LM spread, LM / PQ is our main objective.

Idea: MM is our main resistance

Bet:

 R = MM (118.62);    S = PQ (111.7), MY (110.35)

 

Medium term: lower

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not far away from its minimal level. The pattern in progress for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages is a bearish no-crossover. A bearish trend is expected without a bearish pattern.

Idea: MW is a strong resistance

Bet: bearish as long as our MACD is not oversold

R = MW (117.59);      S = LW (115.31), LM (112.61)

 

Short term: bearish

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is at its minimal level. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 days moving averages. . A bearish trend is expected without a bearish pattern.

Idea: MD is a strong resistance

Bet: buy short position

R = MD (117.13);       S = LW (115.31)

 

Conclusion: at least, lower until the end of 2010.

 

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