Gold: wait the end of January

Yearly trend: in 2012 /2013, qualification in a new bullish parallel pattern

On a yearly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress with a strong dynamic for MY. The dynamic for each band is very strong. PY will cross MY in more than one period. On a Historical basis, one of the most bullish patterns ever seen (since the end of XIX century). 

Idea: bullish non-crossover for our stochastic.

 

Long term: quarterly bullish parallel pattern

On a quarterly basis, the pattern is a bullish parallel one. The dynamic for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages is strong. The status in progress for our MACD is a bullish non-crossover with an oversold status for our stochastic. A new bull move is in progress.

On a monthly basis, a strong bearish dynamic is always in progress with LM. Our 7 / 23 moving averages will continue to rise with a bullish non-crossover as a status. With our MACD, the status will be overbought in two periods or more.. As long as MM proves to be a support, a decline is only a technical move.

Idea:  the bull trend will expend for some quarters

R = rise > 2 years, +++ (could be above 2 000);    S = MM (938)

 

  

Medium term: weekly bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, PW crossed MW with a nice bearish dynamic for LW, a bullish trend for our monthly basis and no correction after the crossover. Our 7 weeks moving average was up when a bearish crossover price / PW occurred.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: a bullish no-crossover for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages.

 

R = PW / UW (1204);       S = MW (1068)

 

Short term: Bollinger Bands spread is far away from its minimal level

On a daily basis, UD is a strong resistance.  A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic. MD should act as a support.

Idea: nothing to do.

Bet: a bullish pre-parallel pattern could develop.

 

R = UD (1143);       S = MD (1112)

 

Conclusion: trading range for two weeks and strong bull market could develop at the end of January.

DTAFM / ATDMF on Wikipedia

http://209.85.229.132/search?q=cache:tGPZrQMqX7UJ:en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DTAFM+wikipedia+DTAFM&cd=1&hl=fr&ct=clnk&gl=fr

 

http://209.85.229.132/search?q=cache:Ao2g3wE2jQ0J:fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analyse_technique_dynamique_des_march%C3%A9s_financiers+wikip%C3%A9dia+ATDMF&cd=1&hl=fr&ct=clnk&gl=fr

 

 

 

 

 

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