Yearly trend: in 2012 /2013, qualification in a new bullish parallel pattern
On a yearly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress with a strong dynamic for LY. PY will cross MY next period. A PEI is in progress with our stochastic. On a global Historical basis, one of the most bullish pattern ever seen (since the end of XIX century).
Idea: a type II should develop
Bet: S&P 500 rise in the 1986 / 2000 as a benchmark.
Long term: bullish parallel on a quarterly basis
On a quarterly basis, the pattern is a bullish parallel one. A type II could develop. The dynamic for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages is strong and continue thru 2013. A PEI is in progress with our MACD. Above 1800 at the close, a new PEI could develop with our stochastic.
On a monthly basis, a type III is in progress.
Idea: towards 5 000 or above as long as no NEI will develop on a monthly basis.
Bet: higher and higher (and nothing else in portfolios)
R = rise > 2 years, +++ (could be above 5 000); S = PM (1477.9), MM (1377.5)
Medium term: type I in progress
On a weekly basis, a bullish parallel is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: toppish if PW fail as a support.
R= historical high, 2 000, +++; S = PW (1741), MW (1640)
Short term: flat
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is above a reference one. TAM tools are down..
Idea: MD is our first resistance
Bet: PW is a strong support.
R = MD (1821), UD (1891) S = LD (1751), PW (1741)
Conclusion: focus on PW and a Dramatic collapse on stocks indices.