Archives mensuelles : février 2012

Trader en intraday avec l’ATDMF

C’est facile avec un risque limité aussi bien sur les CFD que sur les contrats sur futures.

Avec un déposit de 15 000 € vous pouvez espérer un gain moyen supérieur à 2 000 € par semaine. Cette performance vient d’être largement dépassée lors de notre formation  qui vient de se terminer. Des résultats analogues sont à noter durant les précédentes formations.

Pour y parvenir, de nouvelles règles sont utilisées  afin d’augmenter la fiabilité des prises de positions et tenir compte des impératifs du trading d’une durée comprise entre quelques minutes et une heure.

Au bout de deux jours, le stagiaire est à l’aise avec tous les types de marchés : contrat Euro-bund comme le Kiwi ou l’or.

Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr

CAC 40: daily basis, use bullish parallel rules

Long term basis: lower

On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought for two periods or more.

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. A PEI is the status for our moving averages. Our stochastic could be oversold soon.

On a monthly basis, TAM tools could continue to decline. Bollinger bands spread could stabilize.

Idea: lower as long as monthly MACD is not oversold

Bet: lower.

R = MM (3604);    S = PQ (2565), 2003 low / LQ (2254), LY (1324)

Medium term: rise

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is a reference one. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and MACD. With a bear trend for our monthly moving averages, the rise in progress is only a technical move.

Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: nothing to do.

R = MM (3604);               S= MW (3150).

Short term: bullish parallel in progress

On a daily basis, a type III occurred.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: higher as long as PD = support.

R = UD (3457);     S= PD (3308).

Conclusion: focus on PD.

EUR / USD: towards MM

Long term: flat

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are slightly bullish. Stochastic is overbought. UY is our main resistance and MY is our first support.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one and UQ / LQ spread is expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our MACD. LQ is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. TAM tools will continue to decline. LM is our main target.

Idea: MM is a strong resistance

Bet: LM is our main support.

R= MM (1.3654), MQ (1.3945);    S= LM (1.2573), MY (1.2123)

Medium term: recovery

On a weekly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. As long as M7 trend is up, the recovery in progress will continue.

Idea: above MW

Bet: towards MM is not ruled out.

R = MW (1.3335);     S = 1.3025, LW (1.2609)

Short term: technical recovery in progress

On a daily basis, a PEI is the status for our stochastic.

Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: higher for one week or more.

R = UD (1.3357), MM (1.3654);   S = MD (1.3009)

Conclusion: technical recovery in progress.

Gold: towards LD if MD fails as a support.

Yearly trend: in 2012 /2013, qualification in a new bullish parallel pattern

On a yearly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress with a strong dynamic for LY. A type II is expected at the end of 2012. On a global Historical basis, one of the most bullish pattern ever seen (since the end of XIX century).

Idea: focus on LY trend

Bet: S&P 500 rise in the 1986 / 2000 as a benchmark.

Long term: bullish parallel on a quarterly basis

On a quarterly basis, the pattern is a bullish parallel one. A type I could develop at the end of March 2012. The dynamic for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages is strong and continue thru 2013.

On a monthly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: focus on MM.

Bet: towards 5 000 or above as long as no NEI will develop on a monthly basis.

R = rise > 2 years, +++ (could be above 5 000);    S = MM (1503.4), MQ (1122.9)

Medium term: toppish until the end of February

On a weekly basis, UW and LW trend could be flat for some weeks. No PEI / NEI is in progress.

Idea: focus on M7 trend

Bet: UW is our main resistance.

R= UW (1790.4);   S = MW (1677), LW (1563.6)

Short term: decline

On a daily basis, no PEI is in progress on TAM tools. A NEI is in progress on the weekly time frame.

Idea: below MD, LD is our next objective

Bet: MACD will be overbought for two weeks.

R = UD (1770.5);   S = MD (1691.2), LD (1611.8).

Conclusion: bullish on a long term basis.

CAC 40: focus on 3411

Long term basis: lower

On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought for two periods or more.

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. A PEI is the status for our moving averages. Our stochastic could be oversold soon.

On a monthly basis, TAM tools could continue to decline. Bollinger bands spread could stabilize.

Idea: lower as long as monthly MACD is not oversold

Bet: lower.

R = MM (3603);    S = PQ (2565), 2003 low / LQ (2236), LY (1313)

Medium term: rise

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is a reference one. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and MACD. With a bear trend for our monthly moving averages, the rise in progress is only a technical move.

Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: nothing to do.

R = 3411, MM (3603);               S= MW (3120).

Short term: bullish parallel in progress

On a daily basis, a type III occurred.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: higher as long as MD = support.

R = UD (3411);     S= MD (3271).

Conclusion: focus on MD.

Euro-Bund contract: quiet for some weeks

Long term: higher

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is increasing. Our moving averages are up. Stochastic and MACD are oversold. As long as the status for our MACD is not overbought, the bull trend in progress could continue.

On a monthly basis, TAM tools are up as PM. A PEI is in progress for our monthly stochastic.  As long as the status for our stochastic and MACD is not a bearish divergence, the bull trend in progress could continue.

Idea: higher

Bet:  rise as long as our monthly MACD is not overbought.

R=  +;    S= MW (137.01)

Medium term: rise without bullish trend

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is increasing. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our moving averages and our stochastic. A NEI is the status for our MACD.

Idea: towards LW if MW fails as a support

Bet: UW= resistance.

R = UW (140.39);   S = MW (137.01), LW (133.63)

Short term: trading range

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. TAM tools are without PEI.

Idea: forget this time frame for the week ahead

Bet:.

R = UD (140.28);   S = MD (138.95), LD (137.62)

Conclusion: nothing to do.

USD / JPY: weak for some weeks

Long term: lower

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is increasing. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

On a quarterly basis, a type I could develop.

On a monthly basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use monthly bearish parallels rules

Bet: towards LM.

R= MM (80.58);    S= LM (74.61), LQ (68.05)

Medium term: Bollinger bands spread is minimal and increasing

On a weekly basis, no PEI / NEI is in progress on TAM tools.

Idea: no bear trend could develop

Bet: lower as long as our stochastic is not oversold.

R = MW (77.12), UW (78.17);     S = LW (76.07)

Short term: decline

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is above a reference one. No PEI is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: MD is a strong resistance

Bet: decline as long as our MACD is not oversold.

R = MD (76.94);   S = LW (76.07)

Conclusion: decline for some weeks.