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ATDMF sur France-info
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Archives mensuelles : octobre 2012
Formation ATDMF
Des places sont disponibles en octobre et novembre. Choisissez les dates qui vous conviennent pour suivre la formation de base de trois jours. Les journées peuvent être continues ou séparées. Vous pouvez également programmer les journées en semaine ou durant le week-end.
Puisque vous serez le / la seul participant, le programme est adaptable aussi bien pour les novices en analyse technique que pour les analystes éprouvés.
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Philippe Cahen
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GBP / USD: lower on a short term basis
Long term: flat
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.
On a quarterly basis, with a bearish trend for M23, PQ / MQ could act as a resistance.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread will stay flat. TAM tools are up without PEI.
Idea: rise as long as MM= support
Bet: quarterly bearish pre-parallels could develop.
R= PQ (1.6423); S= MM (1.594), LM (1.5374)
Medium term: lower
On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one.
Idea: use MACD status as a leading indicator
Bet: MW could fail as a support.
R = UM (1.6268); S = MW (1.5774), LW (1.528).
Short term: decline
On a daily basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. Weekly time frame is a NEI for daily basis.
Idea: a bearish pre-parallel pattern could develop within three weeks
Bet: towards MW.
R = PD (1.6188); S = MW (1.5774).
Conclusion: lower as long as MD= resistance.
Gold: could be weak for some weeks
Long term: higher
On a yearly basis: a type II will be the status at the end of the period. Next year, LY should continue to decline (9 periods). Expect to use Dow Jones 1980 / 2000 bull trend as a benchmark.
On a quarterly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.
On a monthly basis, the bullish parallel pattern is over since May 2012.
Idea: use the monthly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: a technical correction is not ruled out for some months.
R= UM (1828); S= MM (1638.7), PQ (1527.1)
Medium term: rise
On a weekly basis, a rise developed with a NEI on the monthly time frame.
Idea: use our weekly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: next stochastic status will give the next trend.
R= UM (1828); S= MW (1653.4)
Short term: end of bullish parallels
On a daily basis, with a close below MD, the parallel will be over. LD is our first support.
Idea: weekly TAM tools are up: no bear trend could develop.
Bet: trading range for some weeks or bearish pre-parallels.
R= MD (1768.7), UD (1792); S= LD (1745.5)
Conclusion: below MD (at the close), LD is our next objective.