Long term basis: technical recovery
On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought for two periods or more. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a resistance, the main trend is not bullish.
On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. Our stochastic could be oversold soon.
On a monthly basis, with a NEI as a status for our moving averages, a bullish trend is impossible.
Idea: cannot be bullish with a quarterly M23 trend on the down side
Bet: towards PM if MM fails as a resistance (e.o.p.).
R = MM (3601), MY (3712); S = PQ (2565)
Medium term: rise
On a weekly basis, without a PEI, the rise in progress is only a technical recovery.
Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought
Bet: nothing to do (buy US indices not CAC 40).
R = MM (3601); S= MW (3254).
Short term: without trend
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is not increasing. No PEI is in progress.
Idea: decline as long as our MACD is not oversold
Bet: towards LD.
R = MD (3494); S= LD (3381).
Conclusion: end of the medium term recovery if MM acts as a resistance.