Long term basis: lower
On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought for two periods or more. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a resistance, the main trend is not bullish.
On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is shrinking. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages. Stochastic is oversold.
On a monthly basis; for M23, the trend is bearish. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. PM could be the main resistance.
Idea: not bullish as long as our monthly M23 is not up
Bet: higher if 3601 fails as a resistance (end of period).
R= 3600.8 (March 2012 high), MQ (3647); S= LM (2761)
Medium term: below MW?
On a weekly basis, a bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and MACD.
Idea: below MW, LW is our main objective
Bet: lower as long as our weekly stochastic is not oversold.
R= PW (3578.5); S= MW / LD (3343), LW (3046).
Short term: trading range?
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is a reference one. No PEI could develop with TAM tools.
Idea: stochastic is our leading indicator
Bet: towards LD or lower.
R= MD (3433); S= LD (3342).
Conclusion: towards LW if our daily stochastic is not oversold on the LD level.