Long term: a new trend could emerge
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.
On a quarterly basis, a PEI is in progress for our moving averages and our MACD. LQ is our first target.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. Stochastic and MACD are oversold and our moving averages will continue to decline.
Idea: above PM, a recovery could develop
Bet: with a close above MM, a new trend could emerge next year.
R= PM (1.3139), MM (1.3301), MQ (1.3772); S= 1.1877 (2010 low).
Medium term: higher
On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is above a reference one. A weak bullish no-crossover is in progress with our moving averages but will continue thru 2013.
Idea: weekly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: MM could be an objective.
R = MM (1.3301); S = MW (1.2755).
Short term: a type II is in progress
On a daily basis, a type II is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: bullish.
R = MM (1.3301); S = PD (1.2961).
Conclusion: a new bull trend (medium / long term basis) is not ruled out.