Long term: higher
On a yearly basis: a type II will be the status at the end of the period. Next year, LY should continue to decline (9 periods). Expect to use Dow Jones 1980 / 2000 bull trend as a benchmark.
On a quarterly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.
On a monthly basis, the bullish parallel pattern is over since May 2012.
Idea: use the monthly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: a technical correction is not ruled out for some months.
R= UM (1824.4); S= MM (1637.7), PQ (1527.1)
Medium term: toppish
On a weekly basis, a rise developed with a NEI on the monthly time frame.
Idea: use our weekly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: MW as a target with an overbought status for our MACD.
R= 1796; S= MW (1660.3)
Short term: lower
On a daily basis, Bollinger Bands are expending with a NEI on the weekly time frame.
Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: A bearish pre-parallel could develop.
R= MD (1767.8); S= MW (1660.3)
Conclusion: as long as MD= resistance, MW could be a target.