Archives pour la catégorie Devises

AUD / USD: higher

Long term: bullish

On a yearly basis, Bollinger Bands spread is increasing. A PEI is in progress with our stochastic and MACD.

On a quarterly basis, a PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

On a monthly basis, this time frame is without trend.

Idea: higher as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet:  UM= strong resistance.

R= UM (1.0906);    S= MM (1.04), LM (.9894)

Medium term: higher

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is minimal. A PEI will develop with our moving averages.

Idea: higher without a bullish pattern (monthly MACD as a NEI).

Bet: towards UW.

R = UW (1.0582);     S = MW (1.0363).

Short term: rise

On a daily basis, Bollinger Bands spread is above a reference one.

Idea: higher as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: towards UW.

R = UW (1.0582);   S = MD (1.0342).

Conclusion: recovery.

 

€ / $: quiet for some months

Long term: flat

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. A PEI is in progress for our moving averages and our MACD. Prices should move lower.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. M7 is below M23 and MACD is up. MM should act as a resistance.

Idea: Monthly stochastic is our leading indicator

Bet: nothing to do.

R= MM (1.3436);    S= 1.1877 (2010 low), 1.164 (2005 low)

Medium term: recovery

On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is above a reference one. A weak bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic.

Idea: higher if 1.3175 fails as a resistance

Bet: towards LW if MW fails as a support (overbought status for our MACD)

R = 1.3175 (above recent high);     S = MW (1.2599).

Short term: recovery

On a daily basis, no PEI is available for TAM tools. Our stochastic is the leading indicator.

Idea: higher as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet: weak below MD.

R = 1.3175;        S = MD (1.2946), LD (1.2825).

Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, the rise in progress will continue.

GBP / USD: lower on a short term basis

Long term: flat

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.

On a quarterly basis, with a bearish trend for M23, PQ / MQ could act as a resistance.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread will stay flat. TAM tools are up without PEI.

Idea: rise as long as MM= support

Bet: quarterly bearish pre-parallels could develop.

R= PQ (1.6423);    S= MM (1.594), LM (1.5374)

Medium term: lower

On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one.

Idea: use MACD status as a leading indicator

Bet: MW could fail as a support.

R = UM (1.6268);     S = MW (1.5774), LW (1.528).

Short term: decline

On a daily basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. Weekly time frame is a NEI for daily basis.

Idea: a bearish pre-parallel pattern could develop within three weeks

Bet: towards MW.

R = PD (1.6188);        S = MW (1.5774).

Conclusion: lower as long as MD= resistance.

€ / $: new trend for medium term?

Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is expending. A PEI is in progress for each TAM tool. More declines are ahead.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one.

Idea: Monthly MACD is our leading indicator

Bet: a PEI could develop for our monthly MACD.

R= MM (1.3741);    S= 1.1877 (2010 low), 1.164 (2005 low)

Medium term: recovery is over

On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is above a reference one. No PEI is in progress.

Idea: towards MW

Bet: towards LW if MW fails as a support (overbought status for our MACD)

R = UW (1.3025);     S = MW (1.2546), LW (1.2064).

Short term: type I in progress

On a daily basis, a parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: close long position below MD.

R = UD (1.3223);        S = MD (1.2833), LD (1.2443).

Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, the rise in progress will continue.

EUR / USD: very important week

Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages will be flat. Stochastic and MACD are overbought. MY is our first support and 1.1640 (2005 low) is the next one.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one and is expending. A PEI is in progress for TAM tools. June 2010 low (1.1877) is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. With a PEI for our stochastic, a type II could develop next month.

Idea: lower as long as our monthly stochastic is not oversold

Bet: below 1.1877 is not ruled out.

R= MQ (1.3836);    S= 1.2042 (current low), 1.1877, 1.1640, 1.000.

Medium term: technical recovery

On a weekly basis, as long as M23 trend is down, MW is a maximal target.

Idea: higher as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet: towards UW if 1.2748 (18/06 high) fails as a resistance.

R = 1.2748, UW (1.3107);     S = MD (1.2447), LW (1.2004).

Short term: toppish

On a daily basis, as long as MD proves to be a support (end of day) the main trend is up.

Idea: focus on our moving averages status

Bet: decline below MD.

R = 1.2748;   S = MD (1.2447), LD (1.2230).

Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, the technical recovery in progress could continue.

€ / $: higher

Long term: flat

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is flat. Next period, TAM tools trend will be down. 1.1640 (2005 low) will be our main target.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is a reference one and will continue to expand. A bearish no-crossover is the status for each TAM tool.

On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is above the reference level but Bands continue to expand.

Idea: lower with a technical recovery if our monthly stochastic status is oversold

Bet:  focus on monthly stochastic until the end of next week.

R= MM (1.35);    S= 1.164.

Medium term: technical recovery in progress

On a weekly basis, with a close above MW, UW could be our next objective.

Idea: stochastic will be up for two periods or more

Bet: UW as a target if 1.2748 (June 2012 high) fails as a resistance.

R= MW (1.2584 at the close), 1.2748, UW (1.3193);   S= LW (1.1975)

Short term: rise

On a daily basis, a PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

Idea:  use our MACD as a leading indicator

Bet:  up for 15 periods.

R= UD (1.2601);   S= MD (1.2409)

Conclusion: close a short position if MW fails as a resistance (e.o.p).

€uro / Dollar: technical recovery in progress

Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages will be flat. Stochastic and MACD are overbought. MY is our first support and 1.1640 (2005 low) is the next one.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. A PEI is in progress for TAM tools. June 2010 low (1.1877) is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. With a PEI for our stochastic, a type II could develop this year.

Idea: lower as long as our monthly MACD is not oversold

Bet: below 1.1877 is not ruled out.

R= MQ (1.3836);    S= 1.2042 (current low), 1.1877, 1.1640, 1.000.

Medium term: technical recovery

On a weekly basis, as long as M23 trend is down, MW is a maximal target.

Idea: higher as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet: our 23 weeks moving average will continue to decline.

R = MW (1.261);     S = MD (1.2328), LW (1.1958).

Short term: rise

On a daily basis, a close occurred above UD with a NEI  in progress on the weekly time frame.

Idea: higher as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: MW is a strong resistance.

R = MW (1.261);   S = MD (1.2328), LD (1.2209).

Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, the technical recovery in progress could continue.