Archives pour la catégorie Contrat 10 Y T-Note

10Y T-Note contract: lower

Long term: higher on a yearly basis

On a yearly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. The same status is in progress for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend for some periods. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide and LQ is flat. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD were oversold at the same time. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide and bands are diverging. Our stochastic and MACD are not yet overbought.

Idea: as long as our monthly stochastic is not overbought, no correction could develop                                

Bet: bullish no-crossover for our stochastic is not ruled out.

 R = 128.7, +++;    S = MM (119.74)

 

Medium term: bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A bullish parallel is in progress. The rise could amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: towards LW if PW fails as a support.

R = UW (127.97);    S = MW (124.25), PW (123.66), LW (120.53)

 

 

Short term: lower but not bearish

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands are expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic. For our 7 / 23 days moving averages, a bearish A type crossover will develop. With our weekly moving averages trend, PW could be a support.

Idea: lower as long as our MACD is not oversold

Bet: MD is our main resistance.

R = MD (126.65);    S = PW (123.66)

 

Conclusion: technical correction on a daily basis.

 

10Y T-Note: higher due to QE policy (€ / $ + and gold +++)

Long term: higher on a yearly basis

On a yearly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. The same status is in progress for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend for some periods. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but increasing. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD were oversold at the same time. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide and bands are diverging. Our stochastic and MACD are not yet overbought.

Idea: as long as our monthly stochastic is not overbought, no correction could develop                                

Bet: above Historical High (128.7)

 R = 128.7, +++;    S = MM (119.78)

 

Medium term: bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A bullish parallel is in progress. The rise could amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: higher for some weeks.

R = 128.7;    S = MW (123.7)

   

Short term: higher

On a daily basis, MD is up. As long as our MACD is not overbought, the rise in progress will continue.

Idea: bullish parallel qualification in progress

Bet: bullish no-crossover for our MACD.

R = 128.77;    S = MD (126.02)

 

Conclusion: bullish on a medium term basis

 

10Y T-Note: the bull trend is always in progress

Long term: higher on a yearly basis

On a yearly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. The same status is in progress for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend for some periods. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but increasing. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD were oversold at the same time. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide and bands are flat. Our stochastic and MACD are not yet overbought. In early 2011 a bearish A type crossover could be the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages.

Idea: as long as our monthly stochastic is not overbought, no correction could develop                                

Bet: new bullish move above 127.

 R = 127, 128.7;    S = MM (119.49)

 

Medium term: bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A bullish parallel is in progress. The rise could amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: above PW with an oversold status for our stochastic

R = PW (126.5);    S = MW (122.74)

 

  

Short term: without trend

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is not minimal. As long as PW proves to be a resistance a recovery is only a technical move.  

Idea: a bullish pre-parallel pattern could develop

Bet: MD is a nice support.

R = UD (126), PW (126.5);    S = MD (124.59)

 

Conclusion: towards PW or above.

 

10 Y T-Note: medium term trend is always bullish

Long term: higher on a yearly basis

On a yearly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. The same status is in progress for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend for some periods. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but increasing. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD were oversold at the same time. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide and bands are flat. Our stochastic and MACD are not yet overbought. In early 2011 a bearish A type crossover could be the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages.

Idea: as long as our monthly stochastic is not overbought, no correction could develop                                

Bet: new bullish move above 127.

 R = 127, 128.7;    S = MM (119.46)

 

Medium term: bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A bullish parallel is in progress. The rise could amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: MW is a nice support

R = 127;    S = MW (122.45)

 

 

Short term: without trend

On a daily basis, M23 will continue to decline. With an oversold status for our MACDMD will be our first target. Otherwise MW could be an objective.

Idea: no bear pattern with our weekly trend

Bet: above MD.

R = MD (124.92), UD (126.64);    S = LD (123.2)

 

Conclusion: MW is our main support.

 

10Y T-Note: a technical correction is not ruled out

Long term: higher on a yearly basis

On a yearly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. The same status is in progress for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend for some periods. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but increasing. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD were oversold at the same time. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a monthly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. The spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide and LM is flat. But, a technical correction towards MM is not ruled out.

Idea: bullish for some years                                                                                                                      

Bet: a technical correction until year‘s end could develop

 R = 128.7;    S = MM (119.5)

 

Medium term: bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A bullish parallel is in progress. The rise could amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: more decline below PW

R = 128.7;    S = PW (123.84), MW (121.78)

  

Short term: UD / LD spread could be minimal soon

On a daily basis, a bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and MACD. M23 will stay up. A decline will be only a technical correction.

Idea: decline as long as our stochastic is not oversold

Bet: lower for one week or more.

R = MD (125.41), UD (126.65);    S = PW (123.84)

 

Conclusion: a technical correction until early 2011 could develop.

 

10 Y T-Note: technical correction???

Long term: higher on a yearly basis

On a yearly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. The same status is in progress for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend for some periods. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but increasing. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD were oversold at the same time. Current Historical high is only our first objective.

On a monthly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. The spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide and LM is flat. 128.7 (Historical High) could be our next target. But, a technical correction towards MM is not ruled out with an overbought status for our stochastic.

Idea: bullish for some years                                                                                                                      

Bet: a technical correction until years‘s end could develop

 R = 128.7;    S = MM (119.47)

 

Medium term: bullish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A qualification in bullish parallel is in progress. The rise could amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: more decline below PW

R = 128.7;    S = PW (123.08)

 

 Short term: warning

On a daily basis, a bullish no-crossover occurred with PD. The status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish no-crossover. As long as MD proves to be a support, a decline is only a technical move. Next target will be PW.

Idea: MD could fail as a support

Bet: in September a bullish no-crossover could develop with our 7 / 23 daily moving averages.

R = UD (126.94);    S = PD (125.3), MD (124.95)

 

Conclusion: a short term correction could develop soon (inflation???)

 

10Y T-Note: higher for some months

Long term: higher

On a yearly basis, the trend for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is up. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and MACD. The rise in progress should extend.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but increasing. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold at the same time. UQ is our first target.

On a monthly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. The spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide. If PM fails as a resistance, 128.7 (Historical High) will be our next target.

Idea: bullish for some years

Bet: above 128.7 this year

 R = PM (125.03);    S = MM (119.38)

 

Medium term: bullish

On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic. A qualification in bullish parallel is in progress. The rise will amplify.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: very bullish

R = PM (125.03);    S = MW (119.9)

 

Short term: rise

On a daily basis, the status for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. As long as MD proves to be a support, a decline is only a technical move.

Idea: MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: MD is a strong support

R = PM (125.03);    S = MD (122.87)

 

Conclusion: fly to quality will continue and amplify…

 

10 Y T-Note: higher (long term basis)

Long term: higher

On a yearly basis, the trend for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is up. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. For each one, a bullish no-crossover is in progress. The rise in progress should extend.

On a quarterly basis, UQ / LQ spread is wide but  increasing. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD could be oversold at the end of this year. UQ will be our first target.

On a monthly basis, our stochastic and MACD will be oversold at the end of May. The spread for Bollinger bands spread is wide. UM is our main target.

Idea: towards UM or above.

Bet: MM will act as a strong support

 R = UM (124.55);    S = MM (119.16)

 

Medium term: rise

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is increasing. Our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are up. With a bullish no-crossover as a status for our stochastic, the rise will amplify. Otherwise, MW could be a target.

Idea: as long as our MACD is not overbought a decline is a technical move

Bet: MW is a strong support

R = UW (120.77);      S = MW (117.87)

 

Short term: decline

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is wide. As long as our stochastic is not oversold, LD is our main target.

Idea: towards LD

Bet: technical decline in progress

R = MD (120.02), UD (121.8);       S = LD (118.37)

 

Conclusion: nothing to do.

 

Analysis: a new capitalist world could develop…

Long term: towards UM???

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is shrinking. The trend for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is slightly up. Our stochastic is oversold with a weak bullish no-crossover. The same pattern is in progress for our MACD.

On a quarterly basis, LQ is slightly up but the UQ / LQ spread is wide. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought. Next period, a new pattern could emerge. As long as PQ proves to be a support, the decline in progress is only a technical move.

On a monthly basis, a bearish divergence is in progress for our stochastic. This pattern could / will be over at the end of the period. .Our MACD could be oversold too. With UM / LM spread; next month, UM / PM will be our main objective.

Idea: this change of analysis for long terms patterns was never seen (since 1970) in one week (have to be checked in early June)

Bet: next, fly to quality due to Historical Collapse for stock markets / old capitalism

 R = UM (124.59);    S = LM (113.75)

 

Medium term: Bollinger bands spread is minimal

On a weekly basis, a bullish pre-parallel will develop due to monthly MACD pattern. Our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages are not yet bullish.

Idea: MW is a strong support

Bet: if prices continue to rise, a special powerful up move will be in hand

R = UW (118.78), 121.23;      S = MW (117)

 

Short term: rise without bullish pattern

Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: MD = strong support

R = UW (118.78);       S = MD (116.94)

 

Conclusion: a new capitalist world could develop…

 

10Y T-Note: fly to quality?

Long term: PQ is a strong support

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is shrinking. The trend for our 7 / 23 years moving averages is slightly up. Our stochastic is oversold with a weak bullish no-crossover. MACD could be overbought next period.

On a quarterly basis, LQ is slightly up but the UQ / LQ spread is wide. A bullish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought with a bearish divergence for our stochastic. As long as PQ proves to be a support, the decline in progress is only a technical move.

On a monthly basis, a bearish divergence is in progress for our stochastic with a bearish no-crossover for stochastic and MACD. With UM / LM spread, LM / PQ is our main objective.

Idea: MM is our main resistance

Bet: towards LM

 R = MM (118.63);    S = LM (112.63), MY (110.34)

 

Medium term: lower

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not far away from its minimal level. The pattern in progress for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages is a bearish no-crossover. A bearish trend is in progress without a bearish pattern.

Idea: MW is a strong resistance

Bet: bearish as long as our MACD is not oversold

R = MW (117.23);      S = LW (114.93), LM (112.63)

Short term: 

 On request