Archives mensuelles : septembre 2011

Nasdaq 100: nothing to do

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Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. UY is our main target.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish pattern is over. TAM tools are up.

On a monthly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages is a bullish A type crossover. Our MACD is overbought.

Idea: MM is our first target.

Bet: nothing to do.

R = UM (2529);     S = MM (2107), LM (1686).

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Medium term: weak

On a weekly basis; TAM tools are without PEI.

Idea: nothing to do

Bet: towards PW with a close above MW.

R = MW (2274), PW (2363);    S = LW (2082).

 

 

Short term: rise but without bullish trend

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is expending but above a reference one. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our MACD and with our moving averages. A NEI is in progress with our weekly time frame. UD is our main objective.

Idea: rise as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet: nothing to do.

R = UD (2300);    S = MD (2172).

 

Conclusion: technical recovery in progress.

 

Portefeuille ATDMF depuis le 1/1/2011 = + 19.02 %

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Et le votre ?

A la suite d’une formation ATDMF de 3 jours (en semaine ou à cheval sur un week-end) vous allez améliorer votre performance et devenir complètement indépendant. Vous pourrez éviter de nouveaux désastres en continuant d’écouter celles et ceux qui sont responsables de vos résultats.

N’oubliez pas que les conseilleurs de toutes sortes y compris les pseudos analystes techniques n’ont qu’un but : faire marcher le business en se fichant éperdument de vos résultats. Soyez convaincus que l’analyse technique classique n’a qu’un seul but : être un outil de marketing. Regardez la publicité qui entoure les publications pour en être convaincu.

 

Formations ATDMF, renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr

€ / $: bearish below PM (1.3174)

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   Long term: towards LM if PM fails as a support

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal but is increasing. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are flat. Stochastic and MACD are neutral. UY is a far away resistance.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our MACD. With an overbought status for our stochastic, LQ will be our main target.

 On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. TAM tools are on the down side. Below PM, LM is our next objective.

Idea: focus on our quarterly stochastic

Bet: towards LM if PM fails as a support.

R = UM (1.4883);    S= PM (1.3174), LM (1.2319)

 

Medium term: lower but not bearish

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is minimal. A PEI is in progress with our MACD and no PEI is in progress with our monthly time frame. As long as MW proves to be a resistance, PM is our main target.

Idea: lower for some periods

Bet: PM will fail as a support.

R = MW (1.4263);     S = PM (1.3174)

 

 

On a daily basis, a type II is in progress.

Idea: use bearish parallels rules

Bet: above 9 periods for LD is likely.

 

R = PD (1.4076);   S = PM (1.3174)

 

Conclusion: bearish parallels pattern on a weekly basis is likely.

 

CAC 40 : wait the end of Q3

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Long term basis: towards LQ or lower

On a yearly basis, TAM tools are neutral.

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages. LQ is our first target.

On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is a PEI. Next period; with an amplification of UM trend, a bearish pattern will be in progress.

Idea: weak as long as quarterly M 23 is not bullish

Bet: below LQ if – 8 (3936) proves to be a resistance at the current close.

R = MM (3738);    S = 2003 low / LQ (2401), LQ (2377), LY (1121)

 

Medium term: bearish parallel

On a weekly basis, a type II is in progress.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules

Bet: focus on UW trend for 9….

 

R = PW (3528)               S= LQ (2377)

 

  

Short term: flat

On a daily basis, TAM tools are neutral.

Idea: nothing to do  

Bet: lower with a PEI on the weekly stochastic.

R = UD (3284);     S= LD (2970).

 

Conclusion: wait early October.

 

€ / $: weak

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Long term: bullish as long as MM = support

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal but is increasing. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are flat. A weak PEI is in progress with our stochastic and MACD. UY is our main target.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. ATM tools are without trend. As long as PQ proves to be a resistance, a decline is not ruled out. Below MQ, LQ could be an objective.

 On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. TAM tools are on the down side. UM is our main resistance. Below MM, LM is our next objective.

Idea: focus on our quarterly stochastic

Bet: none.

R = PQ (1.4975);    S= MM (1.3616)

 

Medium term: lower but not bearish

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is minimal. A PEI is in progress with our MACD and a NEI is in progress with our weekly time frame. As long as MW proves to be a resistance, MM is our main target.

Idea: MM should be a strong support.

Bet: nothing to do.

R = MW (1.4331);     S = MM (1.3616)

 

 

Short term: decline

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is expending but no PEI is in progress on TAM tools.

Idea: decline as long as our MACD is not oversold

Bet: MD will act as a resistance.

 

R = MD (1.4327);   S = MM (1.3616)

 

Conclusion: avoid this market.

 

Brent: flat

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Long term: towards MM?

On a monthly basis, as long as M7 is up, MM is our main support.

Idea: a technical correction could develop.

Bet: nothing to do.

R= UM (128.97);   S= MM (95.13)

 

Medium term: trading range

On a weekly basis, volatility is a reference one. A bearish no-crossover could develop with our MACD.

Idea: PW is our first resistance and UW is a strong one.

Bet: decline with a close below MW.

R = PW (119.12), UW (123.6);     S = LW (104.65)

 

Short term: trading range

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is above a reference one. Below MD, LD is our next objective.

Idea: UD is our main resistance

Bet: nothing to do.

R = UD (115.6);    S= MD (109.37), LD (103.15)

 

Conclusion: nothing to do.

 

Notre performance du 19/3/2010 au 2/9/2011 = + 45.37 %

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Si la votre est supérieure pour l’ensemble de vos avoirs gérés : félicitations. Mais, si votre résultat est inférieur, une formation ATDMF 2011 va vous aider à remonter la pente.

Nos stages d’une durée de 3 jours se font pour 1 ou 2 participants et se pratiquent dans Paris centre soit en semaine soit à cheval sur un week-end.

Prochaines dates : 17 au 19 septembre et 20 au 22 septembre

 

Ce que vous saurez faire à la fin de la formation : acquérir des automatismes pour prendre, gérer et sortir d’une position pour une durée comprise entre quelques jours et plusieurs mois sur les actions / indices, devises, matières premières et contrats de taux.

 

 

Pour obtenir des renseignements ou vous inscrire, laissez moi votre N° de téléphone : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr

 

  PS 1 : pour réaliser des plus-values en intraday, il m’est possible de vous expliquer les conditions indispensables pour y parvenir.

PS 2 : reprise de nos analyses mardi 6 septembre.