Archives mensuelles : novembre 2011

€ / Y: bearish on a long term basis

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Long term: lower

On a yearly basis, TAM tools are down. 89.59
(Historical Low) is our first target.

On a quarterly basis, a type 1 should develop.

On a monthly
basis, a bearish no-crossover is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: MW is our maximal target

Bet: a selloff is expected.

R= MW (107.63);   
S= 89.59

 

 

On a weekly basis, TAM tools are neutral.

Idea: MW = strong resistance and LW = main support

Bet: wait.

R = MW (107.63);    
S = LW (101.32)

 

 

Short term: weak

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is expending. PD
trend is bearish: a PEI could develop with our MACD.

Idea: decline as long as our MACD is not oversold

Bet: lower.

 

R = MD (105.95);  
S = LD (102.56)

 

Conclusion: bearish on a long term basis.

Forte PV réalisée, mais rien à voir avec les prochains jours.

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Les opérateurs qui sont
entrés vendeurs sur le contrat Eurodollar, comme nous le recommandions,
réalisent actuellement une forte plus-value. Le reclassement en type 2, attendu
au début de la semaine prochaine permettra d’amplifier sensiblement les gains.

Les utilisateurs de l’ATDMF
sont les seuls à avoir profité de ce conseil. Pourtant cette opération sans
risque aurait du être indiquée par tous les analystes.

Rappelons que le contrat
Eurodollar est l’actif le plus traité (en volume) sur les marchés à termes. Cherchez
sur les sites internet et les documents envoyés par vos courtiers des
recommandations, vous risquez d’être déçu.

Suivez la formation ATDMF et
profitez des opportunités sur l’ensemble des marchés financiers.

Formation ATDMF,
renseignements en faisant une demande sur :

 

atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr

3 M ED march 2012: PEI type 2 within a week

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Medium term (March 2012 contract): bearish
On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is expending. A PEI is in progress for
our moving averages and our MACD. A NEI is in progress with our 23 months moving average.
Idea: lower as long as our MACD is not oversold
Bet: towards MM.
R = MW (99.44);         S = MM
(99.029), LM (97.987)
Short term: a bearish PEI type 2 is expected
On a daily basis, a parallel is in progress. A PEI type 2 will develop
early next week.
Idea: use bearish parallel rules.
Bet: powerful bear trend.
R = MD (99.376);         S = MM
(99.029)
Conclusion: bear trend for this contract (yield up) + rise for 10
Y contract (yield down) => special warning for stocks markets.
Position:  Previous: short; in progress: hold on; next: add short
position with a daily PEI type 2.

Crude oil: higher for some weeks

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Long term: towards UQ?
On a quarterly basis, a bullish no-crossover is in
progress with our moving averages and our stochastic. On a monthly basis, our
stochastic and MACD are not yet oversold.
Idea: oversold status this month for our stochastic
and MACD
Bet: very bullish with a bullish no-crossover for our
monthly moving averages (before the end of 2011)
R= UM (108.9),
UQ (120.41);   S= MM (88.45), LM
(68)
Medium term: higher
On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is above a reference
level but is expending. Rise as long as our MACD is not overbought.
Idea: UM could be a target
Bet: higher for some weeks.
R = UW (101.58);     S = MW (89.31)
Short term: higher
On a daily basis, a
PEI is in progress with our MACD.
Idea: rise as long
as our MACD is not overbought
Bet: towards UM.
R = UM (101.58);    S= MD (92.68)
Conclusion: towardsUM.

US: 3 M ED yield up + 10 Y yield down => stocks could dive

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Medium term (March 2012 contract): decline

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is expending. A PEI is in progress for our moving averages and our MACD. A NEI is in progress with our 23 weeks moving average.

Idea: lower as long as our MACD is not oversold

Bet: towards MW.

 

R = MW (99.452);         S = MM (99.033)

 

Short term: better than a T1

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is expending.

Idea: today will be a T2 with an intra-day new low.

Bet: powerful bear trend.

 

R = MD (99.4);         S = MW (99.033)

 

Conclusion: bear trend for this contract (yield up) + rise for 10 Y contract (yield down) => special warning for stocks markets.