En utilisant les PEI et NEI (exclusivité ATDMF 2011) en intraday, mercredi nous étions en position à 9h30 sur le GPB / JPY et ce matin à 8h40 sur le USD / JPY. Vous préférez travailler le contrat Euro-bund en intraday ? L’ATDMF 2011 permet de traiter ce contrat avec autant de réussite.
Les PEI et NEI apportent aux opérateurs une sécurité inconnue à ce jour en analyse technique..
Formation et renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
Long term basis: towards UQ?
On a yearly basis, the status for our MACD is a bearish divergence. As long as our M7 is up, the main pattern is always a bullish parallel pattern. UY is the far away maximal target. Below MY, a collapse could develop.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spreads is maximal. A bullish A type crossover could develop with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. A PEI is in progress with our stochastic.
On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not a reference one. The status for our 7 / 23 months moving is a PEI. The status is the same for our MACD. As long as our MACD is not overbought, the rise in progress will continue.
Idea: towards UQ as long as PM proves to be a support
Bet: higher until the end of 2011.
R = UQ (1610); S = PM (1034).
Medium term: parallel qualification
On a weekly basis; with a type III PEI, a parallel qualification is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: bullish for some periods
R = +; S= PW (1251), MW (1210)
Short term: bullish parallel
On a daily basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules.
Bet: higher
R = UW (1311); S= PD (1275), LD (1255)
Conclusion: UQ could be a target.
Long term: bearish on a long term basis
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands are down. A PEI is the status for our 7 / 23 years moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought. The decline in progress should continue for some periods.
On a quarterly basis, a bearish A type crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages. A PEI is the status for our stochastic and MACD. A type I PEI could develop this year.
On a monthly basis; a bearish parallel pattern is always in progress. A PEI is in progress with our 7 / 23 months moving averages.
Idea: use monthly bearish parallel rules
Bet: a PEI could develop with our monthly stochastic.
R = PM (88.2); S = 79.70 (Historical low), – – -.
Medium term: without trend
On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands are flat. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages. With an overbought status for our MACD, LW will be our next objective.
Idea: bearish as long as MW proves to be a resistance
Bet: as long as our 7 weeks moving average is down, a bear trend could develop.
R = MW (82.78); S = LW (80.59)
Short term: decline
On a daily basis, Bollinger spread is wide; A PEI is in progress with our stochastic and MACD.LD is our next objective.
Idea: PEI with our 7 / 23 days moving averages
Bet: our stochastic is our leading indicator.
R = MD (82.50); S = LD (81.34)
Conclusion: a bearish pattern could develop within 3 weeks on a weekly basis.
Yearly trend: higher
On a yearly basis, the pattern in progress looks like a parallel pattern. A PEI is in progress with our MACD. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are always on a bull trend.
Idea: UY / LY spread increasing each week
Bet: 100is our first main resistance
R= 100, PQ (115.14) S= MM (77.46)
Long term: higher
On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is maximal. TAM are up.
On a monthly basis, the spread UM / LM is shrinking and not far away from its reference level. A NEI is in progress with our Bollinger bands.
Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought
Bet: no bullish pattern could develop.
R= 100; S= MM (77.46)
Medium term: bullish parallel qualification
On a weekly basis, a bullish type III PEI is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: higher
R = UW (94.47); S = PW (87.25), MW (84.24)
Short term: flat
On a daily basis, as long as LD proves to be a support, a recovery could develop.
Idea: With an oversold status for our stochastic, MD will be our first objective.
Bet:
R = MD (90.42); S = LD (88.42)
Conclusion: higher on a medium term basis.
Long term basis: not yet bullish
On a yearly basis, the status for our stochastic is overbought. With our 7 / 23 years moving averages, a bearish B type crossover will develop before 2014. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a support, the recovery could continue. Next supports are 2003 low and LY.
On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. MQ is our next objective. Above MQ, UQ is our next objective.
On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. With the quarterly trend, as long as MM proves to be a support, UM is our maximal target. With a close below MM, May 2010 low is our first objective and LM is the next one.
Idea: bullish with a close above MQ
Bet: focus on LM trend: without a bearish trend, MQ = resistance.
R = UM (4051, at the close), MQ (4377); S = MM (3675), May 2010 low (3287), LM (3303), 2003 low (2401)
Medium term: higher
On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages. The rise in progress will continue as long as our MACD is not overbought.
Idea: nothing to do
Bet: rise in progress.
R = UM (4051, at the close); S= MW (3820), LW (3635)
Short term: higher
On a daily basis, without PEI on daily TAM, no bull trend could develop. As long as MD proves to be a support, a decline is only a technical move.
Idea: towards LD if MD fails as a support
Bet: nothing to do.
R = UD (4018); S= MD (3907), LD (3797)
Conclusion: US indices are stronger than CAC 40.
Long term: flat
On a monthly basis, TAM are without clear trend.
Idea: none
Bet: decline as long as MM proves to be a resistance.
R= MM (99.144) S= LM (98.853)
Medium term: weak
On a weekly basis (continuous contract), Bollinger bands spread is not a reference one. A PEI will develop with our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages. Below PW, LW is our main target.
Idea: focus on PW
Bet: towards LW.
R = MW (98.985); S = PW (98.909), LW (98.869)
Short term: lower
On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is expending. A PEI could develop with our stochastic. As long as our MACD is not oversold, the decline in progress will continue.
Idea: PEI on TAM could develop
Bet: nothing to do.
R = 98.945, MD (98.986) S = PW (98.909)
Conclusion: long 3M Eurodollar + short 3M Euribor
En se limitant à l’analyse des taux à 10 ans (Europe et USA), il est difficile de ne pas envisager la hausse de l’Euro. Faut-il encore avoir l’idée d’analyser les taux…
L’analyse de la parité Euro / Dollar montre que le franchissement d’une résistance proche serait de nature à confirmer notre analyse des taux.
C’est aussi cela l’ATDMF 2011.
Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
Long term: MQ or above is not ruled out this year
On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal and will stay at the same level for some periods. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages will stay without trend for some periods. An overbought status for our stochastic could be in progress, 1.164 (2005 low) is our first support and UY is our main resistance.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. For our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, the pattern could turn to a bullish B type crossover. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our MACD.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is far away from its minimal level. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic and MACD. A bullish A type crossover is expected. Above MQ, UM is our next target.
Idea: As long as MQ proves to be a resistance, LM could be a target.
Bet: above MQ
R = MQ (1.376), UQ (1.5466); S= LM (1.2066)
Medium term: above PW is likely
On a weekly basis, TAM are neutral. Above PW, UW is our next objective.
Idea: use our weekly stochastic as a leading indicator
Bet: above PW
R = PW (1.3587); S = LW (1.274)
Short term: rise
On a daily basis, TAM are up.
Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: towards PW
R = PW (1.3587); S = MD (1.3197).
Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, low could be behind us for some weeks….
Vous pensiez tout connaître sur l’analyse technique ? Avec l’ATDMF 2011, il va falloir changer d’avis.
Nouveaux concepts, méthodologie inédite.
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Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
Yearly trend: higher
On a yearly basis, the pattern in progress looks like a parallel pattern. A PEI is in progress with our MACD. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are always on a bull trend.
Idea: UY / LY spread increasing each week
Bet: towards UQ is not ruled out.
R= 100, PQ (115.14) S= MM (77.49)
Long term: higher
On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is maximal. TAM are up.
On a monthly basis, the spread UM / LM is shrinking and not far away from its reference level. A NEI is in progress with our Bollinger bands.
Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought
Bet: no bullish pattern could develop.
R= 100; S= MM (77.49)
Medium term: bullish parallel qualification
On a weekly basis, a bullish type II PEI is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: higher
R = UW (94.65); S = PW (87.25), MW (84.29)
Short term: flat
On a daily basis, our Bollinger bands spread is a reference one. TAM are neutral.
Idea: UD and LD are our targets
Bet: wait for a bullish signal.
R = UD (92.44); S = LD (88.4)
Conclusion: higher on a medium term basis.