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Formation de base ATDMF : – 40 %
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Archives mensuelles : septembre 2012
€ / $: new trend for medium term?
Long term: weak
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is expending. A PEI is in progress for each TAM tool. More declines are ahead.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one.
Idea: Monthly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: a PEI could develop for our monthly MACD.
R= MM (1.3741); S= 1.1877 (2010 low), 1.164 (2005 low)
Medium term: recovery is over
On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is above a reference one. No PEI is in progress.
Idea: towards MW
Bet: towards LW if MW fails as a support (overbought status for our MACD)
R = UW (1.3025); S = MW (1.2546), LW (1.2064).
Short term: type I in progress
On a daily basis, a parallel pattern is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: close long position below MD.
R = UD (1.3223); S = MD (1.2833), LD (1.2443).
Conclusion: as long as MD proves to be a support, the rise in progress will continue.
Gold: technical correction?
Long term: higher
On a yearly basis: a type II will be the status at the end of the period. Next year, LY should continue to decline (9 periods). Expect to use Dow Jones 1980 / 2000 bull trend as a benchmark.
On a quarterly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.
On a monthly basis, the bullish parallel pattern is over since May 2012.
Idea: use the monthly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: a technical correction is not ruled out for some months.
R= UM (1827.4); S= MM (1619.1), PQ (1474.8)
Medium term: rise
On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is increasing with a NEI on the monthly time frame.
Idea: use our weekly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: stochastic status will give the next trend.
R= UM (1827.4); S= MW (1632.9)
Short term: bullish parallels
On a daily basis, a type III (31/08) is in progress.
Idea: since yesterday, you have only 50 % of your previous long position
Bet: focus on MD (main support).
R= UD (1780.3); S= MD (1729.4), LD (1651.3)
Conclusion: higher as long as MD proves to be a support.
Edito : notre analyse du S&P 500
Si elle ne vous semble pas aisée à comprendre, une formation de base ATDMF est indispensable, si vous souhaitez continuer à investir sur les marchés financiers.
Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
S & P 500:last day to add a long position
Long term basis: towards UY
On a yearly basis, UY could rise at the close. PY failed as a resistance. Stochastic could be oversold at the end of the period. Our moving averages could continue to rise. UY is our main target.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is maximal but shrinking. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic and our MACD. UQ is our maximal target.
On a monthly basis, a bullish no-crossover is the status for TAM tools. UM / LM spread is expending.
Idea: monthly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: yearly MACD will be oversold next period.
R = UY (1658), +++; S = MM (1314)
Medium term: Type II in progress
On a weekly basis, a type II occurred in T3. It’s the most bullish pattern that you can imagine.
Idea: add long position this week
Bet: LW trend will amplify its decline.
R = UY (1658); S= MW (1369)
Short term: PEI for our moving averages
On a daily basis; Bollinger bands spread expended until T9. Long are in commands.
Idea: a powerful move should develop
Bet: PEI for our MACD.
R= +++; S= MD (1429)
Conclusion: see Medium term analysis
WTI: a new trend? (short term basis)
Long term: weak
On a quarterly basis, MACD is our leading indicator.
On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is flat. As long as our MACD is not oversold the decline could continue or amplify.
Idea: nothing to do
Bet: LM is a strong support.
R= UW (101.23); S= MW (90.52)
Medium term: technical recovery
On a weekly basis, stochastic and MACD are oversold. M23 trend is down.
Idea: UW is our main resistance
Bet: nothing to do.
R = UW (101.23); S = MW (90.52).
Short term: rise?
On a daily basis, the status for our moving averages is a bullish no-crossover. Our stochastic is overbought.
Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: a bearish T2 this week?
R = UD (98.33); S= MD (96.43), LD (94.54).
Nos analyses S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 et CAC 40 du 7/9
Elles sont disponibles pour les personnes qui en font la demande.
Celles du 14 septembre sont disponibles après règlement sur mon compte Paypal.
Les personnes qui s’inscrivent à nos prochaines formations recevront gratuitement ces analyses. Elles seront commentées lors d’une conversation téléphonique personnalisée.
Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
Profitez de la centrale d’échanges ATDMF
Depuis quelques semaines, cette centrale fonctionne pour la plus grande satisfaction de tous.
Principe : vous détectez un produit financier (action française / étrangère, devise, matière première, etc) dont le volume de transactions quotidien dépasse un million d’€ ou $ et qui se trouve au plus tard en T1 sur une base quotidienne ou hebdomadaire. Vous me soumettez la proposition. Après validation ; je communique par mail, à l’ensemble des opérateurs inscrits, le produit concerné. Une courte analyse peut y être jointe pour souligner le potentiel de gain.
Depuis trois semaines, plusieurs propositions sont faites chaque semaine.
Exemple : fin août, signal d’achat sur une base hebdomadaire du titre Rubis.
Pour s’abonner : avoir suivi une formation ATDMF 2011.
Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
€ / $: always short?
Une formation de base ATDMF s’impose.
Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
Belle journée et bonnes opérations.
PS : pour une inscription avant le 30 septembre 2012, réduction de 40 % sr le prix de la formation.
S&P 500: warning below MD
Long term basis: very bullish above PY
On a yearly basis, UY could rise at the close. Stochastic could be oversold at the end of the period. Our moving averages could continue to rise. Above PY, UY is our main target. As long as PY proves to be a resistance, a pseudo type III could develop. With this hypothesis, MY is our first objective.
On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal but shrinking. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic and our MACD. UQ is our maximal target.
On a monthly basis, a bullish no-crossover is the status for TAM tools.
Idea: monthly MACD as a leading indicator
Bet: above PY.
R = PY (1471), UY (1655); S = MM (1312.8)
Medium term: T2 next week?
On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands are diverging and UW / LW spread is a reference one. A T2 could develop next week.
Idea: add long with a T2
Bet: LW trend will amplify its decline.
R = PY (1471); S= MW (1362.4)
Short term: rise but not bullish
On a daily basis; no PEI is in progress for TAM tools.
Idea: with a weekly T2 next week, UY could be a short term target
Bet: bearish warning below MD at the close.
R= 1413 (above yesterday high); S= MD (1408.8), LD (1397.2)
Conclusion: higher as long as our weekly stochastic is not overbought. Below MD: blood, blood and blood.