Archives pour la catégorie Nasdaq 100

Nasdaq 100 is toppish (not bullish as S&P 500)

Long term: focus on the quarterly basis.

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. UY is our first resistance.

On a quarterly basis, a type II will be in progress if LQ trend is down at the end of March. Otherwise, a bearish divergence is likely for our stochastic.

On a monthly basis, a type III is not in progress (NEI with monthly MACD).

Idea: use monthly parallel rules

Bet: bullish as long as MM= support.

R= UM (2958), S= MM (2581), LM (2163).

Medium term: rise but not bullish

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is expending. A PEI is the status for our stochastic and MACD. A NEI is in progress with our moving averages and on the upper time frame.

Idea: use our weekly MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: choppy.

R= UW (2830);     S=MW (2696).

Daily basis: higher

A bullish no-crossover is the status of our stochastic and MACD.  A NEI is in progress on the upper time frame.

Idea: use our daily MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: wait.

R= UW (2831);     S= MD (2765)

Conclusion: higher, on a medium term basis, as long as MW= support.

Nasdaq 100: higher on a medium term basis

Long term: monthly MACD status as a leading indicator

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. UY is our first resistance.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is increasing. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our MACD.

On a monthly basis, a bullish no-crossover is the status for our moving averages.

Idea: monthly MACD status as a leading indicator

Bet: higher as long as MM= support.

R= UM (2724);     S= MM (2398).

Medium term: flat

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands are flat.

Idea: stochastic as a leading indicator

Bet: UW is our main resistance.

R = UW (2792);     S = LW (2467).

Short term: higher

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is expending. No PEI is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: towards UW.

R = UW (2792);     S = MD (2589)

Conclusion: towards UW is likely.

Nasdaq 100: nothing to do

Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. UY is our main target.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish pattern is over. TAM tools are up.

On a monthly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages is a bullish A type crossover. Our MACD is overbought.

Idea: MM is our first target.

Bet: nothing to do.

R = UM (2529);     S = MM (2107), LM (1686).

.

Medium term: weak

On a weekly basis; TAM tools are without PEI.

Idea: nothing to do

Bet: towards PW with a close above MW.

R = MW (2274), PW (2363);    S = LW (2082).

 

 

Short term: rise but without bullish trend

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is expending but above a reference one. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our MACD and with our moving averages. A NEI is in progress with our weekly time frame. UD is our main objective.

Idea: rise as long as our stochastic is not overbought

Bet: nothing to do.

R = UD (2300);    S = MD (2172).

 

Conclusion: technical recovery in progress.

 

Nasdaq 100: bearish after the end of June?

Long term: bullish

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. UY is our main target.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish T2 is in progress.

On a monthly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages is an A type bullish crossover. A PEI was not far away with our MACD.

Idea: bearish divergence for our quarterly stochastic

Bet: towards LM if MM fails as a support.

R = UY (3046);     S = MM (2034), LM (1589)

.

Medium term: flat

On a weekly basis; UW / LW spread is a minimal one. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our MACD. Below PW, the main target could be MM.

Idea: lower as long as MW= resistance

Bet: nothing to do.

R = MW (2331);    S = PW (2231), MM (2034).

 

  

Short term: weak

On a daily basis, TAM tools will continue to decline.

Idea: MD is a strong resistance.

Bet: nothing to do.

R = MD (2326);    S = PW (2231).

 

Conclusion: as long as MW = resistance, a new bear trend could develop.

 

Nasdaq 100 : + 30 %, this market is your favorite one

Long term: bullish

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. UY is our main target.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish T2 is in progress.

On a monthly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages is an A type bullish crossover. A PEI was not far away with our MACD.

Idea: The market to be on a long term basis

Bet: a type I is not ruled out.

R = UY (3049), +++; S = MM (2006)

.

Medium term: rise

On a weekly basis; UW / LW spread is a minimal one. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

Idea: could turn bullish with an oversold status for our MACD.

Bet: UW / LW spread will increase.

R = UW (2415); S = MW (2329), LW (2243).

Short term: neutral

On a daily basis, as long as LD proves to be a support, UD could be our first objective.

Idea: TAM will be up soon

Bet: Increase for UD / LD spread.

R = MD (2385), UD (2425); S = LD (2345).

Conclusion: decline below MW (2329).

Nasdaq 100: higher for some months

Long term: bullish

On a yearly basis, our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up with a PEI. As long as MY proves to be a support, UY could be a target.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger Bands spread could be a reference one. For our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, the trend is up. A PEI is the status for our stochastic. Our MACD is oversold.

On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is not a reference one. For our 7 / 23 months moving averages an A type bullish crossover is in progress.

Idea: higher for some periods (monthly basis)

Bet: bullish T1 for our quarterly basis.

R = UY (3050);     S = MQ (1775)

.

Medium term: bullish parallel

On a weekly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bullish parallel pattern rules.

Bet: bullish for some periods

R = UW (2412);    S = MW (2236).

 

 Short term: without trend

On a daily basis; UD / LD spread is flat. With the weekly trend, no bearish pattern could develop.

Idea: LD and UD are our targets

Bet: towards UD.

R = UD (2407);    S = LD (2296).

Conclusion: close long position below MW (2236)

 

Indices:Inflation will help bullish trend

Long term: neutral

On a yearly basis, a bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and MACD but our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up. Below MY, 1000, 795 (current low) are our objectives.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger Bands spread is near its minimal level. For our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, the trend is up. As long as MQ proves to be a support, a decline is only a technical move. UQ is our main target.

On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is maximal. Our stochastic could be oversold after our MACD. For our 7 / 23 months moving averages a weak A type bullish crossover is in progress. UM is our first target.

Idea: towards UQ as long as MM proves to be a support

Bet: bullish above PM.

R = PM (2031), UQ (2163);     S = MM (1670)

.

Medium term: recovery in progress

On a weekly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. With our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages the status could be a bullish no-crossover before the end of October. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic. PM is our first objective.

Idea: recovery could turn in rise

Bet: at least, higher for four weeks

R = PM (2031);    S = MW (1850)

 

Short term: bullish

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is increasing strongly. Without a bullish no-crossover for one of our indicators, PM could act as a resistance.

Idea: bullish as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: higher

R = PM (2031);    S = MD (1848)

Conclusion: bullish on a medium term basis if PM fails as a resistance

 

Nasdaq 100 : volatilité en baisse…

 

Long term: bearish non-crossover for our yearly stochastic and MACD

On a yearly basis, a bearish non-crossover will be the status for our stochastic and MACD at the end of Q4. Below 1000, 795 (current low) is a weak next target.

On a quarterly basis, the stochastic and our MACD are overbought. The next pattern for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages will be a bearish A type crossover. Bollinger Bands spread is near its minimal level and have a nice dynamic. If UQ is up at the end of Q4, a bearish T1 will be in hand. MQ (1659) is our main resistance. If 1000 fails as a support, 795 is our next target and 500 will be the next one.

On a monthly basis, a bearish non-crossover is in progress with our stochastic, MACD and for our 7 / 23 months moving averages. Bollinger band spread is not at its minimal level but the dynamic for each Bollinger band is very strong. As long as M7 is declining, UD (1393) is our main resistance and 795 is our first support.

Idea: towards 795 or -.

 

Medium term: bearish parallels pattern

On a weekly basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress. For our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages, a bearish non-crossover is in progress and the bearish dynamic will continue to improve over the next periods. The status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish non-crossover. MD (1213) is our first resistance and UD (1393) is the next one. 795 is an objective if 1000 fails as a support. Next target is 500.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules.

 

 

Short term: recovery

On a daily basis, our bearish parallel pattern failed with a decrease for the dynamic of UD / LD. Above MD (1213), UD (1393) is our next objective. Otherwise LD (1034) will be a target.

 

Idea: with a bearish pattern in early December, 795 could be a target for New Year.

Conclusion: 2009 will be a key year for US markets.

Indice Nasdaq 100 7/11/2008

Long term: bearish non-crossover for our yearly stochastic and MACD

On a yearly basis, a bearish non-crossover will be the status for our stochastic and MACD at the end of Q4. MY (1220) was our first objective. Now 1000 is our focus and 795 (current low) is a weak next target.

On a quarterly basis, the stochastic and our MACD are overbought. The next pattern for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages could be a bearish A type crossover. Bollinger Bands spread is near its minimal level and LQ have a nice dynamic. If UQ is up at the end of Q4, a bearish T1 could be in hand. MQ (1662) is our main resistance. 795 is our next target if 1000 fails as a support.

On a monthly basis, a bearish non-crossover is in progress with our stochastic, MACD and for our 7 / 23 months moving averages. Bollinger band spread is not at its minimal level but the dynamic for each Bollinger band is very strong. As long as M7 is declining, UD (1410) is our main resistance and 795 is our first support.

Idea: bullish dynamic for UQ.

 

Medium term: bearish parallels pattern

On a weekly basis, a bearish parallels pattern is in progress. For our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages, a bearish non-crossover is in progress and the bearish dynamic will continue to improve over the next periods. The status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish non-crossover. UD (1410) is our main resistance and 795 is an objective if 1000 fails as a support.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules.

 

Short term: Bollinger bands spread is minimal

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. With a close below PD (1153) + bullish dynamic for UD + new low at the next period, a bearish T2 will be in hand.

Idea: a bearish ATDMF pattern could develop soon.

Conclusion: towards 795 or below if 1 000 fails as a support.

 

Sauve qui peut !!! (4/10/2008)

Editorial,

L’approche ATDMF se porte bien et les informations exceptionnelles, délivrées par nos signaux depuis de nombreuses semaines, se confirment jour après jour. Cependant, c’est bien la seule satisfaction que l’on puisse avoir. Il est probable que la crise actuelle soit rapidement incontrôlable. Si la poursuite de la baisse (effondrement ?) des indices boursiers ne fait pas de doute, cela signifie t’il qu’il soit opportun de se porter vendeur à découvert ? Il est probable que les autorités de marchés seront conduites à stopper les transactions durant une durée indéterminée. Pour cette raison, nous conseillons de se porter acheteur sur les indices boursiers de Put sur des échéances éloignées. Les montants engagés doivent être compatibles, pour votre trésorerie, avec une valorisation à zéro.

L’attitude prônée par certains de « courber l’échine et laisser passer la tempête »  est irresponsable. La probabilité d’assister à une reprise des titres ayant le plus chuté n’est pas assurée. La tempête qui se prépare implique de profonds bouleversements tant au niveau des sociétés qui auront le vent en poupe, des secteurs d’activités, des  pays et des régions géographiques. L’Europe et le Japon pourraient bien se trouver concernés.

Trading : ne pas oublier le contrat Eurodollar 3 m.

 

 

Indice Nasdaq 100

 


Le texte suivant est traduisible à l’aide de Yahoo Babelfish.

 

Long term: bearish non-crossover for our yearly MACD?

On a yearly basis, a bearish non-crossover could be the status for our stochastic (wait end of Q4). MY (1228) is our first objective.

On a quarterly basis, the stochastic and our MACD are overbought. The bullish dynamic for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages fade away. A bearish B type crossover is likely next year. MM (1893) is our main resistance. MY / LQ (1228) is our main target.

On a monthly basis, a bearish non-crossover is in progress with our stochastic, MACD and for our 7 / 23 months moving averages. A Bollinger band spread is not at its minimal level. As long as M7 is declining, MM (1893) is our main resistance and MY (1228) is our main support.

Idea: below MY (1228) is not ruled out.

 

Medium term: bearish parallels pattern

On a weekly basis, the spread UW / LW is expending. For our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages, a bearish non-crossover is in progress and the bearish dynamic will improve over the next periods. The status for our stochastic is a bearish non-crossover. MD (1680) is our main resistance and MY (1228) is our main support. Idea: use bearish parallel rules

 

Short term: bearish parallels pattern

On a daily basis, a bearish parallels pattern is in progress since5 September.

Idea: use bearish parallels rules.

Conclusion: short as long as MD (1680) = resistance. More bearish than S&P 500.

 

 

CAC 40   (27/09/2008)

 

Editorial

La présence d’une forte volatilité sur une base quotidienne et l’absence d’une tendance forte sur un graphique hebdomadaire indiquent que le mouvement de baisse observé sur les indices boursiers peut être remis en cause. Il y a une semaine, nous indiquions de liquider les positions vendeuses. Nous n’avons donc pas à réitérer ce conseil. Techniquement, une reprise est possible. Cependant, vu le niveau de volatilité il est difficile de se positionner. Il n’y a que les opérations en intraday qui, actuellement, peuvent être profitables.