Archives mensuelles : février 2013

CAC 40: not yet bullish

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Long term basis: not yet bullish

On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a resistance, the main trend is not bullish.

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is shrinking. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our moving averages trend is bearish.

On a monthly basis, a type B is expected as the status for our moving averages.

Idea: monthly stochastic is our leading indicator

Bet: UM is a strong resistance.

R= UM (3812), 4169 (Feb 2011 high);    S= MM (3351), LM (2891)

Medium term: choppy

On a weekly basis, our stochastic and MACD are overbought.

Idea: towards LW if MW fails as a support

Bet: UW is a strong resistance.

R= UW (3840);               S= MW (3605), LW (3371).

Short term: choppy

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is wide.

Idea: use our stochastic as a leading indicator

Bet: inside up / down bands.

R= UD (3751);     S= MD (3680), LD (3608)

Conclusion: too early to be short (medium term basis).

Gold could collapse

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Long term: towards MQ?

On a yearly basis: a type II is in progress. LY could continue to decline with a bullish T9. This PEI is the strongest that we know. Expect to use Dow Jones 1980 / 2000 bull trend as a benchmark.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic. MACD is overbought. If LM fails as a support, MQ is our next objective.

On a monthly basis, next month, UM / LM spread will be under the 2005 level. A bearish no-crossover is the status of our MACD. If LM fails as a support, a bear trend could emerge.

Idea: focus on PM and UM trend

Bet: MQ as a support, is it a really stupid question?

R= MM (1672);    S= PQ (1555), MQ (1300)

Medium term: a bearish parallel in March 2013?

On a weekly basis, no bearish parallel could develop in February. In March, no NEI will be in progress.

Idea: use our weekly MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: weak as long as MW= resistance.

R= MW (1692);   S= PQ (1555),

Short term: lower

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is expending. No PEI is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: Paradise for CFD traders.

R= MD (1661);   S= current low (1598), MACD oversold

Conclusion: lower without bearish pattern.

Formation ATDMF intraday : vous payez si vous gagnez

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ATDMF est le seul organisme de formations à vous proposer ce gage de qualité.

Opérer en intraday ne signifie pas rester collé devant son écran durant une partie de la journée ou de la nuit. Il suffit de disposer tranches de plus de trentes minutes entre le lundi matin et le vendredi soir. L’ensemble des marchés peuvent être traités par le biais des CFD.

Détails et renseignements en laissant vos coordonnées sur :

atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr

Nikkei 225: higher

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Long term basis: not yet bullish

On a yearly basis, TAM tools are not up.

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is shrinking. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic but MQ trend is bearish.

On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is a reference one. A NEI is in progress on the upper time frame.

Idea: monthly MACD is our leading indicator

Bet: UQ as a first resistance.

R= UQ (12265);    S= M (9883)

Medium term: bullish

On a weekly basis, T12 was in progress with a bearish trend for LW.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: towards UQ is expected.

R= UQ (12265);               S= PW (10489).

Short term: bullish

On a daily basis, a type III is in progress.

Idea: use our bullish parallel rules

Bet: higher.

R= UQ (12265);     S= MD (11016).

Conclusion: towards UQ or above.

Gold: weak for some wweks

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Long term: a technical correction is not ruled out

On a yearly basis: a type II is in progress. LY could continue to decline with a bullish T9. This PEI is the strongest that we know. Expect to use Dow Jones 1980 / 2000 bull trend as a benchmark.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress. A bearish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic. MACD is overbought.

On a monthly basis, a bearish no-crossover is the status of our MACD. A bullish no-crossover is the status of our moving averages.

Idea: end of the bull trend if MQ fails as a support

Bet:  LM is our main support.

R= UM (1787);    S= PQ (1555), MQ (1301)

Medium term: weak

On a weekly basis, Bollinger Bands spread is a reference one. TAM tools will stay weak for some periods.

Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: weak as long as MW= resistance.

R= MW (1703);   S= LW (1627), LM (1560)

Short term: lower

On a daily basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. No PEI is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: nothing to do.

R= MD (1674);   S= LW (1627)

Conclusion: lower without a bearish pattern.

CAC 40: not yet bearish (medium term basis)

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Long term basis: not yet bullish

On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a resistance, the main trend is not bullish.

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is shrinking. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Our moving averages trend is bearish.

On a monthly basis, a type B is expected as the status for our moving averages.

Idea: monthly stochastic is our leading indicator

Bet: UM is a strong resistance.

R= UM (3805), 4145 (Jan 2011 high);    S= MM (3350), LM (2894)

Medium term: not yet bearish

On a weekly basis, our stochastic and MACD will be overbought next Monday

Idea: towards LW if MW fails as a support

Bet: focus on MW until the end of February.

R= UW (3821);               S= MW (3563), LW (3304).

Short term: bearish without pattern

On a daily basis, Bollinger Bands spread is increasing. A PEI is the status for our stochastic and MACD. A NEI is in progress on the upper time frame.

Idea: use our MACD as a leading indicator

Bet: lower next week.

R= MD (3722);     S= MW (3563)

Conclusion: too early to be short (medium term basis).

Gain maximum, risque minimum (pendant quelques mois)!!!

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Votre approche de l’analyse technique vous a-t-elle permis de trouver ce produit miracle (position de quelques mois) ? Si c’est le cas, les plus-values enregistrées ces dernières semaines vous mettent à l’abri d’une erreur à venir. Si ce n’est pas le cas : soit vous devez abandonner l’utilisation de l’analyse technique pour essayer de réaliser des plus-values, soit si vous utilisez les services d’un média ou d’un coach pour vous conseiller il est urgent de se poser certaines questions.

Vous souhaitez en savoir plus et profiter du mouvement en cours ?

Laissez vos coordonnées en envoyant un mail à atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr,

Philippe Cahen vous contactera personnellement pour faire le point.

A bientôt.

Philippe