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ATDMF présent au Friday – Forex le 24 mai
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Archives pour la catégorie Devises
€ / $: some technical analysts are bullish but ATDMF is bearish
Long term: weak
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. Stochastic and MACD will be overbought at the end of the year. MY is our first target.
On a quarterly basis, a bearish no-crossover could be the status for each TAM tool. LQ is our first objective.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is shrinking and could be a reference one. A PEI could develop with our monthly moving averages.
Idea: LM is our first target if a PEI is the next status for our monthly moving averages.
Bet: lower as long as MM proves to be a resistance.
R= MM (1.3128); S= MY / LM (1.2201), PY (1.0655)
Medium term: without main trend
On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is a reference one.
Idea: weekly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: lower as long as MW= resistance.
R = MW (1.3145); S = LW (1.2720).
Short term: lower
On a daily basis, a PEI is the status for our daily moving averages.
Idea: towards LW if PD fails as a support
Bet: lower as long as MD act as a resistance.
R = MD (1.2995); S = LW (1.2720).
Conclusion: weak as long as MW= resistance.
€ / GBP: weak
Long term: towards UM
On a yearly basis a bullish no-crossover is in progress for our stochastic and our MACD.
On a quarterly basis, next period TAM tools could be up.
On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is above a reference one. UM is a strong resistance. Our stochastic could be overbought within two or three periods.
Idea: UM is a strong resistance
Bet: only a technical recovery in progress.
R= UM (.8868); S= MM (.8311)
Medium term: toppish
On a weekly basis, no parallel is in progress.
Idea: MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: towards MW is expected.
R= UW (8847); S= PW (.8576), MW (.8322).
Short term: flat
On a daily basis, Bollinger bands are flat.
Idea: daily stochastic is our leading indicator
Bet: wait.
R= UD (.8748); S= LD (.8587)
Conclusion: weak if PW fails as a support.
GBP / USD:lower
Long term: higher for some quarters
On a yearly basis, TAM tools are weak. LY is our main target.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread is shrinking but the level is above a reference one. A bearish no-crossover could develop with our moving averages.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is expending with a close below LM. TAM tools are bearish without a PEI.
Idea: monthly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: lower for some quarters.
R= MM (1.5804); S= LQ (1.3793)
Medium term: type II in progress
On a weekly basis, a type II will be in hand next Friday.
Idea: use parallel rules
Bet: towards LQ.
R = PW (1.5821); S = LQ (1.3793).
Short term: bearish parallels
On a daily basis, a bearish parallels pattern is in progress.
Idea: use parallel rules
Bet: lower.
R = MD (1.5357); S = LD (1.4893).
Conclusion: lower.
EUR / GBP: add long position?
Long term: weak
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is above a reference one. Moving averages are up and stochastic is neutral.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands will be flat. Stochastic and MACD are not yet oversold. MQ is our main resistance.
On a monthly basis, stochastic and MACD are oversold and M23 will continue to decline.
Idea: as long as the trend for our monthly moving averages is against the MACD one, no main trend will emerge
Bet: nothing to do.
R= MQ (.8541), UQ (.9305); S= MM (.833), LM (.77)
Medium term: rise
On a weekly basis, with a NEI on the monthly basis, no bull market could be in progress.
Idea: weekly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: towards .8541.
R= MQ (.8541); S = MW (.8105).
Short term: rise
A type II is in progress.
Idea: use parallel rules
Bet: add long position.
R = MQ (.8541); S = MD (.8239).
Conclusion: long with a PEI as a status for our daily stochastic.
€ / $: higher?
Long term: above MM at the close?
On a yearly basis, TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.
On a quarterly basis, a bearish no-crossover is in progress for our moving averages. Our stochastic could be oversold. MQ is a strong resistance.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. Stochastic and MACD are oversold and M23 will continue to decline.
Idea: above MQ, PQ will be our main objective
Bet: with a close above MM, the rise in progress will continue for several months.
R= MM (1.3243), MQ (1.371), PQ (1.4374); S= MW (1.2996).
Medium term: trading range
On a weekly basis, a bullish no-crossover is in progress with our moving averages and with our MACD.
Idea: MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: not bearish as long as MW= support.
R = 1.3404 (current high); S = MW (1.2998).
Short term: recovery
On a daily basis, a bullish no-crossover could be the status for our stochastic and MACD. With this hypothesis, a bull trend will develop.
Idea: MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: towards LD if MD fails as a support.
R = UD (1.3372); S = MACD overbought, MD (1.3199), LD (1.3026).
Conclusion: higher for several months with a monthly close above MM.
USD / JPY: higher
Long term: above MQ?
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our moving averages but our MACD is oversold.
On a quarterly basis, the trend for M23 is bearish. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic. A recovery towards or above MQ is expected.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is expending with a close above UM and a NEI is in progress on the upper time frame.
Idea: monthly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: above MQ without a bullish trend.
R= MQ (88.01), 100, MY (105.74); S= MM (79.7)
Medium term: type II in progress
On a weekly basis, a type II is in progress. LW trend is bearish with a bullish T9.
Idea: use parallel rules
Bet: towards 100 or above.
R = MQ (88.01); S = PW (82.74).
Short term: type III in progress
On a daily basis, a type III is in progress.
Idea: use parallel rules
Bet: higher.
R = MQ (88.01); S = MD (85.65).
Conclusion: towards MQ or higher.
€ could be strong for some months
Long term: towards PQ?
On a yearly basis, TAM tools are without NEI / PEI.
On a quarterly basis, a bearish no-crossover is in progress for our moving averages. Our stochastic is oversold. MQ is a strong resistance.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. Stochastic and MACD are oversold and M23 will continue to decline.
Idea: above MQ, PQ will be our main objective
Bet: with a close above MM, rise will continue for several months.
R= MM (1.3244), MQ (1.3672), PQ (1.4374); S= MW (1.2927).
Medium term: higher?
On a weekly basis, a bullish no-crossover is in progress with our moving averages.
Idea: weekly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: MM (end of period) could fail as a resistance.
R = MM (1.3244); S = MW (1.2927).
Short term: higher as long as MD= support
On a daily basis, a bullish no-crossover is the status for our moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD could be oversold together.
Idea: bullish if our MACD is oversold within one day
Bet: 1.3308 (current high) will fail as a resistance.
R = 1.3308; S = MD (1.3142).
Conclusion: higher for several months with a monthly close above 1.3244.
Focus on USD / JPY
Long term: towards MQ
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our moving averages.
On a quarterly basis, our moving averages are down. Stochastic and MACD are oversold. A recovery towards MQ is not ruled out.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is minimal. Stochastic and MACD will continue to rise. With a NEI on the quarterly time frame, 84.18 (March 2012 high) is our first objective.
Idea: monthly stochastic is our leading indicator
Bet: above UM without a bullish trend.
R= UM (82.6), 84.18, MQ (88.62); S= MM (79.24)
Medium term: higher but not yet bullish
On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. UM is a NEI.
Idea: weekly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: a type I or II is likely.
R = UM (82.6); S = MW (79.17).
Short term: higher
On a daily basis, a type I could develop before the end of the week (needs an oversold status for stochastic and MACD)
Idea: if a type I failed, MD will be our main target
Bet: MD is a very strong support.
R = UM (82.6); S = MD (80.86).
Conclusion: towards UM or higher.
USD / JPY: higher
Long term: weak
On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread will stay flat. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our moving averages.
On a quarterly basis, our moving averages are down. Stochastic and MACD are oversold. A recovery towards MQ is not ruled out.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is minimal. Stochastic and MACD will continue to rise. With a NEI on the quarterly time frame, 84.18 (March 2012 high) could be an objective.
Idea: Stochastic as a leading indicator
Bet: above UM without a bullish trend.
R= UM (82.61), 84.18; S= MM (79.23)
Medium term: higher but not bullish
On a weekly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one. UM is a NEI.
Idea: weekly MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: higher for some periods.
R = UM (82.61); S = MW (79.01).
Short term: higher
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is expending. A PEI is the status for our moving averages.
Idea: daily MACD is our leading indicator
Bet: long (intraday basis).
R = UM (82.61); S = MD (80.25).
Conclusion: towards UM or higher.