Prochaine date : 27 au 29 mars
Renseignement et inscription : laissez vos coordonnées sur atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
Formation ATDMF 2010
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Archives mensuelles : mars 2010
Crude oil: not bearish
Yearly trend: higher
On a yearly basis, the pattern in progress is a bullish parallel pattern. The status for our MACD is a bullish no-crossover. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are always on a bull trend.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: higher
Long term: bullish pseudo no-crossover for our quarterly moving averages
On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is maximal but shrinking slowly. With our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, a bullish pseudo no-crossover could develop this year. Without a bearish no-crossover as a status for our stochastic, a rise will develop and UM will be a target. Otherwise LW will be an objective.
On a monthly basis, the spread UM / LM was maximal but is shrinking. As long as our stochastic is not overbought, the rise in progress could continue.
Idea: without dynamic for prices
Bet: towards LM with a bearish no-crossover as a status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages.
R= 83.95 (current high), S= MM (69.05, end of period)
Medium term: level of volatility is minimal
On a weekly basis, the level of volatility is minimal l. But, LW is flat with prices on UW. For our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages, a bullish no-crossover is in progress. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. With the monthly moving averages trend, no bullish pattern could develop.
Idea: UW = strong resistance
Bet: none
R = UW (82.83); S = MW (77.14)
Short term: rise
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is not minimal. A bullish A type crossover is the status for our 7 / 23 days moving averages. With our weekly trend, no bearish pattern could develop.
Idea: decline below MD
Bet: nothing to do.
R = UD (83.53); S = MD (79.54), LD (75.56)
Conclusion: why a medium / long term bullish pattern could develop?
CAC 40: go to gold and Forex
Long term basis: technical recovery in progress
On a yearly basis, the status for our stochastic is overbought. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are up but have a look on – 8, – 7 , -6 prices).
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands are flat but LQ / UQ spread could / will increase with lower prices. The bearish trend for our 7 quarters moving average will continue for the next period. The bearish B type crossover could be modified into a bearish A type crossover. Within two periods, a bearish no-crossover could be the status for our MACD (same for our stochastic). With this hypothesis, a significant collapse will be in hand. Above MQ, the rise in progress will continue.
On a monthly basis; with our 7 / 23 months moving averages, a bearish pseudo no-crossover is not ruled out. With this hypothesis, a bearish no-crossover will be the status for our quarterly MACD. A collapse will be a weak word for the move ahead. As long as our MACD is not overbought, a bullish pre-parallel pattern could develop.
Idea: bullish no-crossover with our monthly stochastic or overbought status within three months
Bet: none until May
R = UM (4345); S = MM (3493), LM (2641)
Medium term: Bollinger Bands spread is minimal
On a weekly basis a bearish A type crossover is the status for our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages. If the pattern is unchanged at the end of next week, UW will be a strong resistance. With the monthly trend no bear pattern could develop. LW is our main support.
Idea: no main trend for four weeks or more.
Bet: choppy without trend.
R = UW (3978) S= LW (3574)
Short term: UD / LD spread is not minimal
On a daily basis, a bullish no-crossover occurred with PD. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our 7 / 23 days moving averages, stochastic and MACD. As long as our MACD is not overbought, the rise in progress could continue.
Idea: recovery as long as MD proves to be a support
Bet: LD will stay flat.
R = UD (3845); S= MD (3696), LD (3546)
Conclusion: nothing to do within four weeks.
Edito : réplique sur les marchés
La semaine dernière les météorologistes avaient lancé un avis de tempête pour le week-end, dont la puissance a dépassé l’ampleur attendue.
Ce qui se prépare sur les marchés financiers, à un horizon compris entre la mi-avril et fin mai, mérite la comparaison.
Les utilisateurs de l’ATDMF 2010 se préparent dés maintenant à cet événement, qui sera pour certains, générateurs de profits exceptionnels. Ceux-ci seront comparables à ceux encaissés lors de la hausse des TMT (téléphonie, médias, télécommunications) entre novembre 99 et début mars 2000 (de l’ordre de 200 à 400 % sur la période).
Utiliser l’analyse technique, c’est utiliser une technique qui permet de faire des anticipations. Si vos médias de référence, les techniques que vous utilisez ou les conseils de tel ou tel analyste technique n’émettent aucun signal particulier, ceci signifie qu’ils vous conseillent de prendre un bain de soleil sur une plage de Sumatra le 26 décembre 2004 avant l’arrivée du Tsunami.
Si vous souhaiter continuer à vivre, utilisez les informations que vous donnent l’ATDMF 2010.
Renseignements sur nos formations ATDMF 2010 : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr
WTI: why not a rise?
Yearly trend: higher
On a yearly basis, the pattern in progress is a bullish parallel pattern. The status for our MACD is a bullish non-crossover. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are always on a bull trend.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: higher
Long term: bullish pseudo no-crossover for our quarterly moving
On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is maximal but shrinking slowly. With our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, a bullish pseudo no-crossover could develop this year. Without a bearish no-crossover as a status for our stochastic, a rise will develop and UM will be a target. Otherwise LW will be an objective.
On a monthly basis, the spread UM / LM is maximal but is shrinking. With our 7 / 23 months moving averages, a bearish no-crossover is not ruled out within 3 periods. As long as our stochastic is not overbought, the rise in progress could continue.
Idea: if our monthly MACD is overbought before our monthly stochastic, LM will be a target
Bet: towards LM with a bearish no-crossover as a status for our 7 / 23 months moving averages.
R= 83.95 (current high), S= MM (68.97, end of period), LW (71.42)
Medium term: without trend
On a weekly basis, the level of volatility is not far away from its minimal level. For our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages, the trend is flat but a bullish no-crossover could develop. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. With the monthly moving averages trend, no bullish pattern could develop.
Idea: PW = strong resistance
Bet: none
R = PW (83.1); S = MW (76.99), LW (71.42)
Short term: rise
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is not minimal. A bullish A type crossover is the status for our 7 / 23 days moving averages. With our weekly trend, no bearish pattern could develop. As long as our MACD is not overbought, the rise in progress could continue.
Idea: decline below MD
Bet: a bullish pre-parallel pattern could develop.
R = PW (83.1); S = MD (76.38), LD (70.98)
Conclusion: why a medium / long term bullish pattern could develop?