Long term basis: next quarterly MACD status will give the trend until 2012
On a yearly basis, the status for our stochastic is overbought. With our 7 / 23 years moving averages, a bearish B type crossover will develop before 2014. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a support, the recovery could continue. Next supports are 2003 low and LY.
On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is increasing with lower prices. A bearish no-crossover could be the status for our MACD (end of period). With this hypothesis, a collapse is in hand. Otherwise, above PQ, MQ is our next objective.
On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. With the quarterly trend, as long as MM proves to be a support, UM is our maximal target. With a close below MM, May 2010 low is our first objective and LM is the next one.
Idea: focus on our quarterly MACD status (end of period)
Bet: a bearish no-crossover with PQ could develop next period
R = UM (4174); S = MM (3505), May 2010 low (3287), LM (2836), 2003 low (2401), LY (894)
Medium term: higher
On a weekly basis, our 7 / 23 weeks moving averages could develop a bullish B type crossover. A bullish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic and our MACD. UW will be our first objective.
Idea: recovery in progress
Bet: rise as long as our stochastic is not overbought
R = UW (3789), PM (4041); S= MW (3577)
Short term: UD / LD spread is not minimal
On a daily basis, moving averages, stochastic and MACD are without exceptional information. As long as MD proves to be a support, the rise in progress could continue.
Idea: nothing to do
Bet: towards UW.
R = UW (3789); S= MD (3582)
Conclusion: only for trading