Long term: towards UY / UM / UQ?
On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread is not minimal and will stay at the same level for some periods. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages will stay slightly up. With an overbought status for our stochastic (early 2011), 1.164 (2005 low) is the first objective and LY is the next one. But, a bullish no-crossover is not ruled out with our stochastic. With this hypothesis, UY will be our main objective.
On a quarterly basis, the status for our stochastic and our MACD was a bearish no-crossover. For our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, the pattern in early 2011 could be a bullish no-crossover. UQ will be our first target.
On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is far away from its minimal level. Our stochastic and MACD are oversold. Above PM, UM is our next objective.
Idea: bullish above PM
Bet: PM will fail as a resistance
R = PM (1.4034), UY / UM / UQ (above 1.5); S= MM (1.3691)
Medium term: like a bullish parallel pattern
On a weekly basis, as long as our stochastic is not overbought, LW could decline. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic and MACD. PM is our first resistance. Above this level, a bullish parallel will be in progress.
Idea: towards UM
Bet: bullish with lower LW level.
R = PM (1.4034); S = PW (1.3034)
Short term: bullish parallel qualification
On a daily basis, a bullish parallel qualification is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules
Bet: always bullish if PD (1.4029) fails as a resistance today.
R = PM (1.4034); S = MD (1.3572)
Conclusion: higher (but less than gold)