Long term basis: not yet bullish
On a yearly basis, the status for our stochastic is overbought. With our 7 / 23 years moving averages, a bearish B type crossover will develop before 2014. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a support, the recovery could continue. Next supports are 2003 low and LY.
On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. MQ is our next resistance. Above MQ, UQ is our next target. But, a bearish no-crossover could develop with our moving averages. With this hypothesis, LQ is our main target.
On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread is minimal. With a NEI on the quarterly basis, as long as MM proves to be a support, UM is our maximal target. With a close below MM, May 2010 low is our first objective and LM is the next one.
Idea: wait early April
Bet: bearish divergence for our monthly stochastic?
R = MQ (4379); S = MM (3753), May 2010 low (3287), 2003 low (2401)
Medium term: without trend
On a weekly basis, with M23 up and M7 down, UW is our main resistance and LW is our main support.
Idea: nothing to do
Bet: focus on stochastic pattern.
R = UW (4162) S= MW (3934), LW (3705)
Short term: choppy
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is maximal.
Idea: not higher than UD.
Bet: towards LD if MD fails as a support.
R = UD (4104); S= MD (3926), LD (3747)
Conclusion: focus on monthly and weekly stochastics.