Yearly trend: in 2012 /2013, qualification in a new bullish parallel pattern
On a yearly basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress with a strong dynamic for LY. PY could cross MY next period. A PEI is in progress with our stochastic. On a global Historical basis, one of the most bullish pattern ever seen (since the end of XIX century).
Idea: LY will continue to decline for two periods or more
Bet: S&P 500 rise in the 1986 / 2000 as a benchmark.
Long term: bullish parallel on a quarterly basis
On a quarterly basis, the pattern is a bullish parallel one. The dynamic for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages is strong and continue thru 2013. A PEI is in progress with our stochastic and MACD.
On a monthly basis, a type III PEI is in progress.
Idea: use bullish parallel rules on a monthly basis
Bet: higher.
R = rise > 2 years, +++ (should be above 2 000, 3 000 and +++); S = PM (1325)
Medium term: bullish
On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is increasing. TAM are rising.
Idea: rise as long as our MACD is not overbought
Bet: a type II could develop.
R= 1500; + + +; S = MW (1401.2)
Short term: bullish
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is increasing. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages and with our MACD.
Idea: bullish as long as our MACD is not overbought
Bet: above 1500 is expected soon.
R = 1500, + + +; S = MD (1446)
Conclusion: hold on old long position (medium / long term basis) as long as MW (1401) proves to be a support.