ATDMF analysis: CAC 40 Vs Nasdaq 100 (long term basis)

CAC 40: technical recovery

On a yearly basis, stochastic and MACD could continue to be overbought for two periods or more. As long as MY (end of period) proves to be a resistance, the main trend is not bullish.

Idea: MY is a strong resistance

Bet: bearish for two periods or more.

R = MY (3711);    S =2401

Nasdaq 100: towards UY

On a yearly basis, a PEI is the status for our moving averages. Stochastic and MACD are oversold for two periods or more.

Idea: towards UY

Bet: no technical correction before 2015.

R = UY (3120);    S = MY (1584)

 

 

 

 

CAC 40: without clear trend

 

On a quarterly
basis, LQ / UQ spread is maximal. Our MACD is not oversold yet.

Idea: MQ is a strong resistance

Bet: a bearish no-crossover could be the status for
our moving averages.

 

R = MQ (4011);    S = PQ (2565)

 

 

 

Nasdaq 100: could
turns bullish in early 2014

 

On a quarterly basis, LQ / UQ spread is expending with
a NEI. A bullish no-crossover is in progress with our stochastic and our MACD. A
type I or II is not ruled out.

 

Idea: like a bullish trend

Bet: a type I or II.

 

 

R = UY (3120);    S = MQ (1903)

 

CAC 40: technical recovery

On a monthly basis, with a NEI as a status for our moving averages, a bullish trend is impossible.

Idea: MM could be a resistance

Bet: towards PM with an oversold status for our MACD.

R = MM (3599);    S = MW (3224)

Nasdaq 100: rise

On a monthly basis, a PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

Idea: higher

Bet: towards UY.

R = UY (3128);    S = MM (1584)

Conlusion: buy Nasdaq 100 not the CAC 40.

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