Archives pour la catégorie Devises

Forex : le désert.

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Aucune position à prendre sur un graphique quotidien ou hebdomadaire. Cette situation devrait se prolonger au minimum jusqu’à la mi-juillet. Vous avez donc compris que la volatilité va atteindre un minimum. Ceci permettra une explosion des cours avant le mois de septembre. Préparez-vous en lisant l’analyse technique aujourd’hui : la méthode ATDMF (Economica, éditeur). Pour être parfaitement opérationnel, nous vous proposons une formation de 3 jours aux dates que vous souhaitez à partir du 17 juillet.

Pour les formations de juillet et août, nous proposons une réduction du prix de cette formation allant de 30 à 50 %.

Renseignements : atdmfcahen@yahoo.fr

€ / $: a collapse could develop within a month

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Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are slightly bullish until the next period. Stochastic is overbought. UY is a far away resistance and MY is our first support.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one and UQ / LQ spread is expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for each of TAM tools. June 2010 low (1.1877) is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one but is expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic. MM is a far away resistance. Below 1.1877 a collapse is expected.

Idea: lower as long as our monthly stochastic is not oversold

Bet: below 1.1877 is not ruled out.

R= MM (1.3592);    S= LQ (1.234), 1.1877, 1.000.

Medium term: lower

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is expending. No PEI is in progress.

Idea: lower with as long as our stochastic is not oversold

Bet: a bearish no-crossover could be the status for our stochastic.

R = MW (1.3028);     S = LQ (1.234).

Short term: bearish parallel pattern

On a daily basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bearish parallel pattern rules

Bet: a bearish no-crossover could be the status for our moving averages.

R = MD (1.2547);   S = LD (1.2327).

Conclusion: with a bearish no-crossover as a status for our weekly stochastic, a collapse will develop.

AUD / USD: close short position?

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Long term: lower?

On a quarterly basis, a bullish no-crossover is always the status for our moving averages. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought.

On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread could expend. A NEI is the status for our moving averages.

Idea: lower below PM

Bet: UM trend is the key.

R= MM (1.0293);    S= PM (.9474), MQ (.9087)

Medium term: lower?

On a weekly basis, UW / LW spread is expending.  A NEI is the status for the monthly time frame.

Idea: lower as long as our MACD is not oversold

Bet: towards PM.

R = UD (1.0064);     S = PM (.9474)

Short term: bearish parallel pattern

On a daily basis; with a close above MD, UD is our next objective.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules

Bet: a close above MD is likely.

R = MD (.9841), UD (1.0064);   S = LD (.9618)

Conclusion: close short position today?

€ / $: soon, a bear trend could develop

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Long term: weak
On a yearly basis, the no-crossover for our moving
averages could be over next period. Stochastic is overbought.
On a quarterly basis, Bollinger bands spread will
continue to increase. It is a reference one. A PEI is in progress for each TAM
tool.
On a monthly basis, Bollinger bands spread will
continue to increase. A PEI is in progress for our stochastic.
Idea: towards LM
Bet: with a bear trend for our monthly M23, LQ will be
our next objective.
R= MM (1.3684);   
S= LM (1.2685), LQ (1.2399), MY (1.2132)
Medium term: trading range
On a weekly basis, no PEI / NEI is in progress.
Idea: LW / PW is our main target
Bet: bearish pre-parallel pattern.
R = MW (1.311);    
S = LW / PW (1.2698)
Short term: lower
On a daily basis, UD / LD spread was minimal and will
continue to increase. TAM tools will continue to decrease without PEI.
Idea: lower as long as our MACD is not oversold
Bet: below LW / PW is not ruled out.
R = MD (1.3142);  
S = LW / PW (1.2698)
Conclusion: towards LW / PW (1.2698) is likely.

GPB / USD: bullish signal tomorrow?

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Long term: flat

On a yearly basis, no PEI / NEI is in progress. Our stochastic is the leading indicator.

On a quarterly basis, a bullish no-crossover is the status of our stochastic.MQ is our first resistance.

On a monthly basis, TAM tools are without PEI.

Idea: trading range on a monthly basis

Bet: nothing to do.

R= PM (1.6658);    S= MM (1.5979)

Medium term: rise

On a weekly basis, with a NEI on the monthly time frame (no PEI), the rise will continue as long as our MACD is not overbought.

Idea: higher

Bet: not bullish.

R = PM (1.6658);     S = MW (1.5788)

Short term: bullish?

On a daily basis, a type I could develop.

Idea: wait tomorrow

Bet: MD is a strong support.

R = PM (1.6658);   S = PD (1.6083)

Conclusion: towards PM (1.6658).

€ / GBP: weak on a medium / long term basis

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Long term: without trend

On a yearly basis, no PEI or NEI is in progress.

On a quarterly basis, the bullish parallel is over.

On a monthly basis, UM / LM spread is above a reference one.

Idea: Lower as long as our monthly stochastic is not oversold

Bet: this year, a monthly bearish pattern could develop.

R= MM (.8591);    S= LM (.8205), MY (.7413)

Medium term

On a weekly basis, a PEI is the status for our moving averages. No PEI is in progress on the monthly time frame.

Idea: Lower as long as our weekly stochastic is not oversold

Bet: nothing to do.

R = MW (.8347);     S = LW (.8211), MY (.7413)

Short term: no bearish pattern

On a daily basis, prices will continue to decline.

Idea: lower as long as MD proves to be a resistance

Bet: towards LD.

R = MD (.8294);   S = LD (.8195)

Conclusion: lower on a medium term basis.

 

€ / $: weak

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Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are slightly bullish. Stochastic is overbought. UY is our main resistance and MY is our main support.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one and UQ / LQ spread is expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our MACD. LQ is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic. LM is our first support and MM is our main resistance.

Idea: lower as long as our monthly stochastic is not oversold

Bet: a quarterly bearish no-crossover will develop with our moving averages.

R= MM (1.3695);    S= LM (1.2717)

Medium term: weak

On a weekly basis, a bearish type A will develop.

Idea: lower with an overbought status for our stochastic

Bet: MACD will be overbought.

R = MW (1.3132), UW (1.3488);     S = LW (1.2777)

Short term: weak

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is a reference one. No PEI is in progress.

Idea: LD is our first support

Bet: bearish pre-parallel before early May.

R = MD (1.3206);   S = MD (1.3012).

Conclusion: weak without a strong trend.

USD / JPY: new trend (long term basis)

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Long term: a technical recovery is expected

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread could increase. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

On a quarterly basis, stochastic and MACD could be oversold next period.

On a monthly basis, UM is our next objective.

Idea: towards UM

Bet: rise as long as our monthly stochastic is not overbought.

R= UM (85.43), MQ (94.18);    S= MM (80.52)

Medium term: technical recovery

On a weekly basis, prices are above UW and the trend for LW is bearish. A NEI is the status of the monthly time frame and no PEI is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: higher as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: focus on monthly M23 trend.

R = UM (85.43);     S = MW (78.81)

Short term: bullish parallel

On a daily basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: towards UD.

R = UD (84.31);   S = MD (82.5)

Conclusion: technical recovery on a medium term basis.

Position: Previous = out, in progress = no position,  Next: out.

since 01/01 = NS

USD / JPY: higher

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Long term: lower?

On a yearly basis, Bollinger band spread could increase. A PEI is in progress with our moving averages.

On a quarterly basis, a technical recovery could develop.

On a monthly basis, UM is our next objective.

Idea: towards UM

Bet: rise as long as our monthly stochastic is not overbought.

R= UM (85.47);    S= MM (80.54)

Medium term: technical recovery

On a weekly basis, prices are above UW and the trend for LW is bearish. A NEI is the status of the monthly time frame and no PEI is in progress with TAM tools.

Idea: higher as long as our MACD is not overbought

Bet: focus on monthly M23 trend.

R = UM (85.47);     S = MW (78.57)

Short term: bullish parallel

On a daily basis, a bullish parallel pattern is in progress.

Idea: use bullish parallel rules

Bet: towards UM.

R = UM (85.47);   S = PD (81.96)

Conclusion: technical recovery on a medium term basis.

€ / $: towards 1.2645 or lower

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Long term: weak

On a yearly basis, Bollinger bands spread is not minimal. Our 7 / 23 years moving averages are slightly bullish. Stochastic is overbought. UY is our main resistance and MY is our main support.

On a quarterly basis, Bollinger spread is a reference one and UQ / LQ spread is expending. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our MACD. LQ is our first objective.

On a monthly basis, the UM / LM spread is above a reference one. A bearish no-crossover is the status for our stochastic. LM is our first support and MM is our main resistance.

Idea: lower as long as our monthly stochastic is not oversold

Bet: below LM is not ruled out.

R= MM (1.3675);    S= LM (1.2647)

Medium term: bearish parallel

On a weekly basis, a type III occurred.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules

Bet: towards LW.

R = MW (1.3215);     S = LW (1.2659)

Short term: lower

On a daily basis, UD / LD spread is a reference one. A PEI is the status for our stochastic and MACD.

Idea: lower as long as our MACD is not oversold

Bet: a type I or II could develop.

R = MD (1.3235);   S = LD (1.3005).

Conclusion: LM AS A FIRST TARGET.