Editorial,
La faiblesse de l’USD est généralisée. Contre le Yen, une nouvelle accélération du mouvement est en cours depuis hier soir. Habituellement, sur ce couple de devises, les mouvements sont brutaux. A surveiller dans les prochaines heures.
USD – JPY
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Long term: LQ (103.28), first objective
On a yearly basis, the status for stochastic and MACD is a bullish non-crossover. The status for our 7 – 23 years moving averages is a bearish non-crossover. MY (117.38) is our main resistance.
On a quarterly basis, UQ and LQ are declining softly. With our 7 – 23 quarters moving averages next status will be a bearish A type crossover. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought. PQ (107.22) failed as a support. LQ (103.28) is our main objective.
On a monthly basis, the status for our stochastic and MACD is a bearish divergence with a bearish non-crossover for our stochastic. With our 7 – 23 moving averages, a bearish A type crossover is in progress. Bollinger bands are diverging. The bear trend could continue for 3 months or more.
Idea: LQ (103.28) is our next objective.
Medium term: lower
On a weekly basis, our indicators are bearish with a bearish non-crossover for our 7 – 23 weeks moving averages. As long as our MACD is not oversold, the decline will continue.
Idea: a bear trend is in progress.
Short term: lower
On a daily basis, the spread UD – LD was not minimal when a close occurred below LD. A bearish Australian pattern is in progress. As long as our MACD is not oversold (bearish non-crossover in progress), the bear trend will continue.
Idea: strong strength on the bear side.
Conclusion: LQ (103.28), first objective.