Editorial,
Sur le 10 Y T-Note un signal d’amplification de la hausse des cours (T2) est envisageable au début du mois d’avril. Ceci indiquerait un « fly to quality » sur une base long terme et un signal supplémentaire que Q2 = Q1 (voir notre éditorial de hier). Toutes les analyses semblent indiquer que le prochain trimestre devrait être Historique (sur une base séculaire).
Rappelons que l’ATDMF est la technique la plus appropriée pour anticiper et profiter des mouvements violents sur les marchés financiers. Comparez nos analyses et celles publiées par les autres.
Contrat 10 Y T-Notes
Le texte suivant est traduisible à l’aide de Yahoo Babelfish.
Long term: T1 on a quarter basis
On a yearly basis, our stochastic is oversold. The status for our 7 / 2 3 years moving averages is a bullish non-crossover. 120.44 is our first target and 123.59 (Historical high) is the next one.
On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is minimal. Bollinger bands will diverge at the end of Q1 with a close above UQ. The status for our stochastic and MACD is oversold. The pattern for our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages will turn into a bullish A type crossover next period. Our next pattern is a bullish ATDMF 2007 pattern.
On a monthly basis, the status for our 7 / 23 moving averages is a bullish A type crossover. The spread UM / LM was minimal with a nice dynamic for each Bollinger band when they began to diverge. A bullish non-crossover is in progress with our Stochastic and MACD. A bullish parallels pattern is in progress.
Idea: T2 on a quarterly basis in early April.
Medium term: bullish
On a weekly basis, our 7 weeks moving average is up and the trend will improve in April. The next status for stochastic and MACD could be a bullish non-crossover. The ATDMF pattern is a bullish parallels one.
Idea: Use parallels rules.
Short term: bullish parallels pattern
On a daily basis, a bullish parallels pattern is in progress. MD acted as a support. Early next week, the status for our 7 / 23 days moving averages could be a bullish non-crossover. UD (120.17) will be our next objective.
Idea: => use parallels rules
Conclusion: with a quarterly T2, a collapse in equities is not ruled out.