Pétrole: en-dessous de 25 $?

Yearly trend: not yet bearish

On a yearly basis, MY acted as a support but T1 price failed as a support. Our stochastic is overbought and our 7 / 23 years moving averages are bullish. As long as MY (34) acts as a support, a new rise could develop.

Idea: with the stochastic status, MY could fail as a support.

 

Long term: towards LQ (22.57)

On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is maximal. With our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, a bearish B type crossover will develop. The status for our stochastic is a bearish divergence. LQ (22.57) could be a target as long as MQ (68) proves to be a resistance.

On a monthly basis, the spread UM / LM is maximal and expending. With our 7 / 23 months moving averages, a bearish A type crossover is in progress. Our stochastic will be oversold in more than two periods.

Idea: LQ (22.57) could be a target.

 

Medium term: bearish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress. PW failed as a resistance but 50.50 acted as a resistance: holds 100 % of your short position.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules.

R = UD (48.9);   S = 35.13, MY (34.12), LQ (22.57)

 

Short term: UD / LD spread is minimal

On a daily basis, the spread UD / LD is minimal. LD (35.74) could fail as a support. With our weekly MACD, a new low could not lead to a new bearish ATDMF pattern. 

Idea: bearish as long as MD (42.32) = resistance.

R = MD (42.32);   S = LD (35.74), 35.13, MY(34.12), –

Conclusion: below MY (34.12) is not ruled out.

 

 

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