Pétrole : plus bas

 

 

Yearly trend: not yet bearish

On a yearly basis, MY acted as a support but T1 price failed as a support. Our stochastic is overbought and our 7 / 23 years moving averages are bullish. As long as MY (34) acts as a support, a new rise could develop.

Idea: with the stochastic status, MY could fail as a support.

 

Long term: towards LQ (22.23)

On a quarterly basis, the spread UQ / LQ is maximal. With our 7 / 23 quarters moving averages, a bearish A or B type crossover will develop. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought. LQ (22.21) could be a target as long as MQ (68) proves to be a resistance.

On a monthly basis, the spread UM / LM is maximal and expending. With our 7 / 23 months moving averages, a bearish A type crossover is in progress. Our stochastic will be oversold in more than two periods.

Idea: LQ (22.23) could be a target.

 

Medium term (March 09 contract): bearish parallel pattern

On a weekly basis, a bearish parallel pattern is in progress. PW failed as a resistance with a bearish 7 weeks moving average: holds 100 % of your short position.

Idea: use bearish parallel rules.

R = UD (45.87);     S = LW (21.66)

 

Short term (March 09 contract): UD / LD spread is minimal

On a daily basis, the spread UD / LD is minimal. LD (39.18) could fail as a support. With our weekly MACD, a new low could not lead to a new bearish ATDMF pattern. With our 7 / 23 days moving averages, a bearish non- crossover is in progress. Our stochastic and MACD are overbought. With a bearish non-crossover for our daily MACD, a mini collapse could develop.

Idea: bearish as long as MD (42.52) = resistance.

R = MD (42.52);   S = 38; LW (21.66)

 

Conclusion: below MY (34.12) is not ruled out.

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